Warriors vs. Suns prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 24, 2026

The Phoenix Suns are favored to beat the Golden State Warriors on Saturday, according to Dimers' NBA pregame model.

Our Warriors vs. Suns prediction gives Phoenix a 75.9% chance of winning at Mortgage Matchup Center, but the latest odds suggest value in betting on the Warriors to cover the +9.5 spread.

Warriors vs. Suns: Key predictions

• Predicted score: Suns 115-107 Warriors
• Suns win probability: 75.9%
• Warriors win probability: 24.1%
• Warriors +9.5 spread: 55.2% cover probability
• Over 221.5 points: 51.3% probability

Dimers' NBA pregame model uses machine learning to predict each team's score, accounting for player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage. These scores inform our NBA predictions, including win, spread, and total probabilities, which we compare with available odds to identify betting value.

Warriors vs. Suns odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets monitored by Dimers.

• Warriors moneyline: 23¢ (Novig)
• Suns moneyline: 77¢ (Novig)
• Warriors +9.5: 51¢ (Novig)
• Suns -9.5: 49¢ (Novig)
• Over 221.5 points: -110 (BetMGM)
• Under 221.5 points: 48¢ (Polymarket)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Warriors +9.5 (51¢)

The Suns may be more likely to win, but Dimers' top value bet is the Warriors to cover the +9.5 spread at 51¢, available at Novig.

Those odds imply the Warriors have a 51.5% chance of covering the spread, while our model puts that probability at 55.2%.

That's a 3.8% edge (accounting for rounding) in the Warriors' favor, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Warriors vs. Suns player projections

Unlike our team-focused NBA pregame model, Dimers' NBA player props model projects points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent form, expected minutes, injuries, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Stephen Curry leads our scoring projections for this matchup, with the Warriors star also expected to add 4.2 assists and 3.5 rebounds. The Suns have four players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Warriors' one.

Top 5 projected scorers

• Stephen Curry (Warriors): 26.3 points
• Devin Booker (Suns): 25.8
• Jalen Green (Suns): 19.9
• Dillon Brooks (Suns): 18.5
• Miles Bridges (Suns): 16.1

Projections across all major stat categories are available for every player expected to take the court on our NBA player projections page.

These are statistical projections, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Warriors vs. Suns predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Saturday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Best bets for the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.
• Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks markets.

See our full range of Warriors vs. Suns predictions.

Warriors vs. Suns game details

• Matchup: Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00 PM PT
• Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NBA models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

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