Nov 9, 2026
Wizards vs. Pistons prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 9, 2026
Read Article Pacers vs. Mavericks prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 9, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Pacers vs. Mavericks predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Dallas Mavericks are favored to beat the Indiana Pacers at American Airlines Center on Monday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Pacers vs. Mavericks prediction gives Dallas a 59.3% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Pacers to cover at +2.5.
Pacers vs. Mavericks key predictions
- Predicted score: Mavericks 112-110 Pacers
- Mavericks win probability: 59.3%
- Pacers win probability: 40.7%
- Pacers +2.5 spread: 54.6% cover probability
- Under 225.5 points: 52.4% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Pacers vs. Mavericks odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Pacers moneyline: 41¢ (Novig)
- Mavericks moneyline: 60¢ (Novig)
- Pacers +2.5: -106 (FanDuel)
- Mavericks -2.5: -115 (BetRivers)
- Over 225.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
- Under 225.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Pacers vs. Mavericks pick: Pacers +2.5 (-106)
Our model makes the Mavericks the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Pacers to cover the +2.5 spread at -106 on FanDuel.
Those odds give the Pacers an implied cover probability of 51.5%, while our model puts it at 54.6%.
That's a 3.1% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Pacers vs. Mavericks player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Pacers star Pascal Siakam leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 26.3 points, plus 6.5 rebounds and 4.4 assists. The Mavericks have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Pacers' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Pascal Siakam (Pacers): 26.3 points
- Cooper Flagg (Mavericks): 26.1
- Kyrie Irving (Mavericks): 23.2
- Andrew Nembhard (Pacers): 19.2
- P.J. Washington (Mavericks): 16.5
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Pacers vs. Mavericks prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Pacers vs. Mavericks predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Pacers vs. Mavericks game details
- Matchup: Indiana Pacers vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Monday, November 9, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
- Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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