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Read Article Spurs vs. Suns prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 9, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Spurs vs. Suns predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The San Antonio Spurs are favored to beat the Phoenix Suns at Mortgage Matchup Center on Monday (9:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Spurs vs. Suns prediction gives San Antonio a 73.6% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Suns to cover at +8.5.
Spurs vs. Suns key predictions
- Predicted score: Spurs 116-109 Suns
- Spurs win probability: 73.6%
- Suns win probability: 26.4%
- Suns +8.5 spread: 53.3% cover probability
- Over 224.5 points: 51.9% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Spurs vs. Suns odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Spurs moneyline: 77¢ (Polymarket)
- Suns moneyline: +320 (BetMGM)
- Spurs -8.5: 50¢ (Novig)
- Suns +8.5: 48¢ (Polymarket)
- Over 224.5 points: 51¢ (Polymarket)
- Under 224.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Spurs vs. Suns pick: Suns +8.5 (48¢)
Our model makes the Spurs the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Suns to cover the +8.5 spread at 48¢ on Polymarket.
Those odds give Suns an implied cover probability of 48.1%, while our model puts it at 53.3%.
That's a 5.3% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Spurs vs. Suns player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Spurs star Victor Wembanyama leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 25.7 points, plus 11.4 rebounds and 3.3 assists. The Suns have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Spurs' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Victor Wembanyama (Spurs): 25.7 points
- Devin Booker (Suns): 24.0
- Dillon Brooks (Suns): 17.0
- Jalen Green (Suns): 17.0
- Stephon Castle (Spurs): 16.8
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Spurs vs. Suns prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Spurs vs. Suns predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Spurs vs. Suns game details
- Matchup: San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Monday, November 9, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
- Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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