Nov 9, 2026
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Read Article Pelicans vs. Warriors prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 9, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Pelicans vs. Warriors predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Golden State Warriors are favored to beat the New Orleans Pelicans at Chase Center on Monday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Pelicans vs. Warriors prediction gives Golden State an 81.1% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Pelicans to cover at +11.5.
Pelicans vs. Warriors key predictions
- Predicted score: Warriors 119-109 Pelicans
- Warriors win probability: 81.1%
- Pelicans win probability: 18.9%
- Pelicans +11.5 spread: 54.0% cover probability
- Under 228.5 points: 50.2% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Pelicans vs. Warriors odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Pelicans moneyline: 18¢ (Novig)
- Warriors moneyline: 83¢ (Novig)
- Pelicans +11.5: 51¢ (Novig)
- Warriors -11.5: 50¢ (Novig)
- Over 228.5 points: 51¢ (Polymarket)
- Under 228.5 points: 49¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Pelicans vs. Warriors pick: Pelicans +11.5 (51¢)
Our model makes the Warriors the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Pelicans to cover the +11.5 spread at 51¢ on Novig.
Those odds give Pelicans an implied cover probability of 51.0%, while our model puts it at 54.0%.
That's a 3.0% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Pelicans vs. Warriors player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Warriors star Stephen Curry leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 29.9 points, plus 5.0 assists and 3.4 rebounds. The Pelicans have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Warriors' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Stephen Curry (Warriors): 29.9 points
- Yaxel Lendeborg (Warriors): 19.9
- Saddiq Bey (Pelicans): 19.4
- Jeremiah Fears (Pelicans): 19.3
- Dejounte Murray (Pelicans): 18.9
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Pelicans vs. Warriors prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Pelicans vs. Warriors predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Pelicans vs. Warriors game details
- Matchup: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Monday, November 9, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
- Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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