NBA player props today: Monday's best props include Cooper Flagg [11/9/2026]

Dejounte Murray over 5.5 assists (49¢)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Projection: 6.4
• Game: Pelicans vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Pelicans' Dejounte Murray over 5.5 assists. A probability of 55.1% gives this play an edge of 6.1% at 49¢ odds.

Cooper Flagg under 6.5 assists (+126)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 51.8%
• Projection: 6.2
• Game: Pacers vs. Mavericks (8:00PM ET)

Cooper Flagg’s assists prop shows a 7.6% edge at +126 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 6.2 assists on the under 6.5 line.

Dejounte Murray over 5.5 rebounds (45¢)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 51.2%
• Projection: 5.7
• Game: Pelicans vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Dejounte Murray over 5.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 51.2% probability and a 6.2% edge at 45¢.

Saddiq Bey over 19.5 points (41¢)

• Edge: 8.7%
• Probability: 49.7%
• Projection: 19.4
• Game: Pelicans vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Saddiq Bey to record 19.4 points today, creating an edge of 8.7% on the over 19.5 line at 41¢ odds.

Jeremiah Fears over 19.5 points (42¢)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 49.7%
• Projection: 19.3
• Game: Pelicans vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jeremiah Fears over 19.5 points for Pelicans, showing an edge of 7.2% at 42¢ odds.

Jalen Green over 4.5 rebounds (+128)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 49.3%
• Projection: 4.4
• Game: Spurs vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Jalen Green’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 5.4% at +128 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.4 today.

Karlo Matkovic over 5.5 rebounds (42¢)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 49.0%
• Projection: 5.3
• Game: Pelicans vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Karlo Matkovic for 5.3 rebounds for Pelicans, creating an edge of 7.0% on over 5.5 at 42¢ odds.

Stephon Castle over 5.5 rebounds (+130)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 48.9%
• Projection: 5.3
• Game: Spurs vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Stephon Castle for 5.3 rebounds, creating value on the over 5.5 line at +130 odds and a 5.4% edge.

Dejounte Murray over 19.5 points (41¢)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 48.6%
• Projection: 18.9
• Game: Pelicans vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

A 7.1% edge on the over 5.5 points line makes Dejounte Murray a value play in Pelicans vs. Warriors, with our model projecting him for 18.9 points at 41¢ odds.

Yaxel Lendeborg over 4.5 assists (+132)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 48.3%
• Projection: 4.2
• Game: Pelicans vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Simulations project Yaxel Lendeborg for 4.2 assists here, creating a 5.2% edge on the over 4.5 line at +132 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, November 9, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 8:56PM ET:

Conclusion

For November 9, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Dejounte Murray, Cooper Flagg and Saddiq Bey. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.