NBA player props today: Tuesday's best props include Shai Gilgeous-Alexander [11/10/2026]

Andrew Wiggins over 9.5 points (45¢)

• Edge: 11.7%
• Probability: 56.2%
• Projection: 12.4
• Game: Heat vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Heat's Andrew Wiggins over 9.5 points. A probability of 56.2% gives this play an edge of 11.7% at 45¢ odds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 32.5 points (-102)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 56.1%
• Projection: 29.7
• Game: Thunder vs. Trail Blazers (11:00PM ET)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s points prop shows a 5.6% edge at -102 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 29.7 points on the under 32.5 line.

Brayden Burries over 5.5 rebounds (49¢)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Projection: 6.2
• Game: Bucks vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Brayden Burries over 5.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 53.7% probability and a 5.2% edge at 49¢.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 5.5 assists (+119)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Projection: 6.1
• Game: Thunder vs. Trail Blazers (11:00PM ET)

Our model projects Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to record 6.1 assists today, creating an edge of 8.0% on the over 5.5 line at +119 odds.

Damian Lillard over 4.5 assists (+124)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 52.9%
• Projection: 5.0
• Game: Thunder vs. Trail Blazers (11:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Damian Lillard over 4.5 assists for Trail Blazers, showing an edge of 8.2% at +124 odds.

Precious Achiuwa over 6.5 rebounds (+118)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 52.6%
• Projection: 7.0
• Game: Magic vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Precious Achiuwa’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 6.7% at +118 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 7.0 today.

Klay Thompson over 14.5 points (44¢)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 52.3%
• Projection: 15.5
• Game: Heat vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Our model projects Klay Thompson for 15.5 points for Heat, creating an edge of 8.3% on over 14.5 at 44¢ odds.

Jrue Holiday over 4.5 assists (+116)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 51.9%
• Projection: 4.8
• Game: Thunder vs. Trail Blazers (11:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Jrue Holiday for 4.8 assists, creating value on the over 4.5 line at +116 odds and a 5.6% edge.

Bam Adebayo over 19.5 points (42¢)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 51.0%
• Projection: 19.9
• Game: Heat vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

A 9.0% edge on the over 4.5 points line makes Bam Adebayo a value play in Heat vs. Jazz, with our model projecting him for 19.9 points at 42¢ odds.

Rui Hachimura under 14.5 points (41¢)

• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 50.1%
• Projection: 14.5
• Game: Clippers vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Simulations project Rui Hachimura for 14.5 points here, creating a 8.6% edge on the under 14.5 line at 41¢ odds.

NBA player prop summary: Tuesday, November 10, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:36PM ET:

Conclusion

For November 10, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Andrew Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Brayden Burries. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.