Grizzlies vs. Kings prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 25, 2026

The Memphis Grizzlies are favored to beat the Sacramento Kings on Sunday, according to Dimers' NBA pregame model.

Our Grizzlies vs. Kings prediction gives Memphis a 62.8% chance of winning at Golden 1 Center, with the latest odds also suggesting value in betting on the Grizzlies to win.

Grizzlies vs. Kings: Key predictions

• Predicted score: Grizzlies 119-115 Kings
• Grizzlies win probability: 62.8%
• Kings win probability: 37.2%
• Grizzlies -3.5 spread: 50.6% cover probability
• Over 233.5 points: 51.3% probability

Dimers' NBA pregame model uses machine learning to predict each team's score, accounting for player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage. These scores inform our NBA predictions, including win, spread, and total probabilities, which we compare with available odds to identify betting value.

Grizzlies vs. Kings odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets monitored by Dimers.

• Grizzlies moneyline: -146 (FanDuel)
• Kings moneyline: 41¢ (Novig)
• Grizzlies -3.5: 49¢ (Novig)
• Kings +3.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• Over 233.5 points: 53¢ (Polymarket)
• Under 233.5 points: 48¢ (Polymarket)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Grizzlies moneyline (-146)

With Memphis favored to beat Sacramento, Dimers' top value bet is the Grizzlies moneyline at -146, available at FanDuel.

Those odds imply the Grizzlies have a 59.3% chance of winning, while our model puts that probability at 62.8%.

That's a 3.5% edge in the Grizzlies' favor, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Grizzlies vs. Kings player projections

Unlike our team-focused NBA pregame model, Dimers' NBA player props model projects points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent form, expected minutes, injuries, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Ty Jerome leads our scoring projections for this matchup, with the Grizzlies star also expected to add 6.6 assists and 3.6 rebounds. The Kings have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Grizzlies' two.

Top 5 projected scorers

• Ty Jerome (Grizzlies): 24.0 points
• Zach LaVine (Kings): 19.3
• Domantas Sabonis (Kings): 17.7
• Malik Monk (Kings): 15.8
• Jerami Grant (Grizzlies): 14.6

Projections across all major stat categories are available for every player expected to take the court on our NBA player projections page.

These are statistical projections, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Grizzlies vs. Kings predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Sunday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Best bets for the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.
• Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks markets.

See our full range of Grizzlies vs. Kings predictions.

Grizzlies vs. Kings game details

• Matchup: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Sacramento Kings
• Date: Sunday, October 25, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00 PM PT
• Venue: Golden 1 Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NBA models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.