Nov 2, 2026
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Read Article Thunder vs. Cavaliers prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 2, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Thunder vs. Cavaliers predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are favored to beat the Oklahoma City Thunder at Rocket Arena on Monday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Thunder vs. Cavaliers prediction gives Cleveland a 66.9% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Cavaliers moneyline, too.
Thunder vs. Cavaliers key predictions
- Predicted score: Cavaliers 116-112 Thunder
- Cavaliers win probability: 66.9%
- Thunder win probability: 33.1%
- Cavaliers -4.5 spread: 51.5% cover probability
- Over 228.5 points: 50.1% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Thunder vs. Cavaliers odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Thunder moneyline: 40¢ (Novig)
- Cavaliers moneyline: 61¢ (Polymarket)
- Thunder +4.5: 52¢ (Novig)
- Cavaliers -4.5: 49¢ (Novig)
- Over 228.5 points: -108 (BetRivers)
- Under 228.5 points: 49¢ (Polymarket)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Thunder vs. Cavaliers pick: Cavaliers moneyline (61¢)
Our model makes the Cavaliers the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Cavaliers moneyline at 61¢ on Polymarket, too.
Those odds give the Cavaliers an implied win probability of 60.9%, while our model puts it at 66.9%.
That's a 6.0% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Thunder vs. Cavaliers player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Thunder star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 27.8 points, plus 5.7 assists and 3.6 rebounds. The Cavaliers have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Thunder's two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): 27.8 points
- Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers): 23.5
- James Harden (Cavaliers): 18.4
- Evan Mobley (Cavaliers): 16.5
- Ajay Mitchell (Thunder): 16.0
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Thunder vs. Cavaliers prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Thunder vs. Cavaliers predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Thunder vs. Cavaliers game details
- Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
- Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Rocket Arena
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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