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Read Article Kings vs. Mavericks prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 2, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Kings vs. Mavericks predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Dallas Mavericks are favored to beat the Sacramento Kings at American Airlines Center on Monday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Kings vs. Mavericks prediction gives Dallas a 78.8% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Kings to cover at +10.5.
Kings vs. Mavericks key predictions
- Predicted score: Mavericks 120-111 Kings
- Mavericks win probability: 78.8%
- Kings win probability: 21.2%
- Kings +10.5 spread: 55.6% cover probability
- Under 232.5 points: 51.8% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Kings vs. Mavericks odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Kings moneyline: 20¢ (Novig)
- Mavericks moneyline: 80¢ (Polymarket)
- Kings +10.5: 49¢ (Novig)
- Mavericks -10.5: -108 (BetRivers)
- Over 232.5 points: 52¢ (Novig)
- Under 232.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Kings vs. Mavericks pick: Kings +10.5 (49¢)
Our model makes the Mavericks the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Kings to cover the +10.5 spread at 49¢ on Novig.
Those odds give the Kings an implied cover probability of 49.0%, while our model puts it at 55.6%.
That's a 6.5% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Kings vs. Mavericks player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Kings star Darius Acuff leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 27.3 points, plus 6.7 assists and 3.7 rebounds. The Kings have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Mavericks' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Darius Acuff (Kings): 27.3 points
- Cooper Flagg (Mavericks): 26.0
- Kyrie Irving (Mavericks): 22.5
- Zach LaVine (Kings): 21.4
- Domantas Sabonis (Kings): 16.9
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Kings vs. Mavericks prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Kings vs. Mavericks predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Kings vs. Mavericks game details
- Matchup: Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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