Nuggets vs. 76ers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. 76ers NBA game on January 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Nuggets
125
124
Xfinity Mobile Arena
76ers
Xfinity Mobile Arena
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 29 | 29 | 67 | 0 | 125 |
76ers | 29 | 29 | 66 | 0 | 124 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Nuggets
- 76ers
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 29 | 29 | 67 | 0 | 125 |
76ers | 29 | 29 | 66 | 0 | 124 |
OT1 00:00 Tyrese Maxey misses two point driving floating jump shot
OT1 00:04 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
OT1 00:10 Spencer Jones blocks Joel Embiid's two point tip layup
OT1 00:11 VJ Edgecombe misses two point driving layup
OT1 00:31 Peyton Watson misses two point jump shot
OT1 00:52 Tyrese Maxey misses three point jump shot
OT1 1:26 76ers makes two point jump shot
OT1 1:39 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
OT1 2:04 76ers misses three point jump shot
OT1 2:28 76ers misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- 76ers offensive rebound
- Tyrese Maxey misses two point driving floating jump shot
- End of 1st OT.
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot125-124
- Joel Embiid defensive goaltending violation
- Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
- Spencer Jones blocks Joel Embiid's two point tip layup
- Bruce Brown defensive rebound
- VJ Edgecombe misses two point driving layup
- Joel Embiid offensive rebound
- VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
- Peyton Watson misses two point jump shot
- Joel Embiid turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- VJ Edgecombe offensive rebound
- Tyrese Maxey misses three point jump shot
- Zeke Nnaji personal foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Peyton Watson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
- +276ers makes two point jump shot125-124
- Nuggets turnover (shot clock violation)
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Spencer Jones turnover (offensive foul)
- Nuggets personal foul
- Bruce Brown defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Jalen Pickett turnover
- Peyton Watson defensive rebound
- Quentin Grimes misses three point jump shot
- Peyton Watson misses two point jump shot
- Joel Embiid defensive rebound
- VJ Edgecombe turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
- Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
- Bruce Brown misses two point jump shot
- Bruce Brown offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Quentin Grimes personal foul
- +2Joel Embiid makes two point jump shot125-124
- Nuggets turnover
- 76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Joel Embiid)
- Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot125-124
- Tyrese Maxey misses three point pullup jump shot
- End of 4th Quarter.
- Adem Bona (Jalen Pickett gains possession)
- 76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Joel Embiid)
- 76ers offensive rebound
- Paul George defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Spencer Jones offensive rebound
- Paul George blocks Peyton Watson's two point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot125-124
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- 76ers turnover
- Jalen Pickett turnover (VJ Edgecombe steals)
- +376ers makes three point jump shot125-124
- Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
- 76ers turnover
- Zeke Nnaji turnover
- 76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Joel Embiid)
- Peyton Watson blocks VJ Edgecombe's three point jump shot
- Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 3
- +1Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 3 of 3125-124
- Adem Bona shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)
- +1Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 3125-124
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
- Joel Embiid misses two point layup
- +3Bruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)125-124
- +376ers makes three point jump shot125-124
- +2Bruce Brown makes two point running finger roll layup125-124
- 76ers turnover
- +2Zeke Nnaji makes two point jump shot106-104
- +3VJ Edgecombe makes three point pullup jump shot (Adem Bona assists)106-104
- Nuggets turnover
- Spencer Jones shooting foul (Tyrese Maxey draws the foul)
- +1Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 1 of 2125-124
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- +1Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 2 of 2125-124
- +3Zeke Nnaji makes three point jump shot106-104
- +376ers makes three point jump shot125-124
- Nuggets personal foul
- 76ers offensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- +1Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2106-104
- Quentin Grimes personal foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
- Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
- +1Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2125-124
- +2Joel Embiid makes two point jump shot106-104
- Nuggets turnover
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Joel Embiid makes two point jump shot106-102
- Joel Embiid offensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Instant replay (Challenge)
- Adem Bona personal foul
- Adem Bona shooting foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
- 76ers 60 second timeout
- +1Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2125-124
- +1Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2125-124
- Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
- VJ Edgecombe misses two point cutting layup
- 76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Joel Embiid)
- 76ers 60 second timeout
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot125-124
- Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
- VJ Edgecombe misses three point jump shot
- +3Hunter Tyson makes three point jump shot125-124
- 76ers personal foul
- +1Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 1125-124
- Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Adem Bona defensive rebound
- Peyton Watson misses three point jump shot
- Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson, Peyton Watson)
- 76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George)
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot125-124
- Julian Strawther defensive rebound
- Jared McCain misses two point driving finger roll layup
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot96-100
- Julian Strawther defensive rebound
- Tyrese Maxey misses two point jump shot
- +2Spencer Jones makes two point jump shot125-124
- +276ers makes two point jump shot125-124
- +2Hunter Tyson makes two point jump shot125-124
- Paul George personal foul
- +1Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 1125-124
- +376ers makes three point jump shot125-124
- Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
- Hunter Tyson personal foul (Quentin Grimes draws the foul)
- Hunter Tyson misses three point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot125-124
- +2Zeke Nnaji makes two point jump shot (Julian Strawther assists)125-124
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- 76ers offensive rebound
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- 76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona, Jared McCain, Paul George)
- Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson)
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot125-124
- +376ers makes three point jump shot125-124
- 76ers personal foul
- Zeke Nnaji misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- +1Zeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 2 of 2125-124
- Peyton Watson defensive rebound
- Quentin Grimes misses three point pullup jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot84-90
- +276ers makes two point jump shot84-90
- VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- +2Joel Embiid makes two point jump shot84-90
- 76ers personal foul
- +1Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 2120-120
- +1Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 2 of 2120-120
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- 76ers lineup change (Quentin Grimes, VJ Edgecombe, Jared McCain, Joel Embiid, Jabari Walker)
- +3Tyrese Maxey makes three point running jump shot79-86
- Nuggets turnover
- Joel Embiid offensive rebound
- +276ers makes two point jump shot120-120
- Tyrese Maxey misses two point driving finger roll layup
- +2Bruce Brown makes two point putback layup84-90
- Bruce Brown offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- 76ers turnover
- Nuggets turnover
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 2106-104
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Hunter Tyson, Peyton Watson)
- +1Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2120-120
- 76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, Jared McCain, Joel Embiid, Jabari Walker)
- Jabari Walker defensive rebound
- Julian Strawther misses two point putback layup
- Julian Strawther offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- 76ers personal foul
- Jabari Walker offensive rebound
- +276ers makes two point jump shot106-102
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Jabari Walker offensive rebound
- Tyrese Maxey misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
- Bruce Brown personal foul
- +1Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 1 of 2106-102
- Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
- Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot77-77
- 76ers personal foul
- +1Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1106-102
- +276ers makes two point jump shot106-102
- VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
- Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- 76ers personal foul
- +1Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2106-102
- +276ers makes two point jump shot106-102
- Peyton Watson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
- +376ers makes three point jump shot106-102
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot87-93
- 76ers turnover
- DaRon Holmes II turnover
- 76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, VJ Edgecombe, Joel Embiid, Jabari Walker)
- Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
- 76ers 60 second timeout
- +3VJ Edgecombe makes three point jump shot96-100
- +2Peyton Watson makes two point jump shot71-69
- Peyton Watson defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets personal foul
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot96-100
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nuggets defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Nuggets personal foul
- 76ers offensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- DaRon Holmes II personal foul
- 76ers offensive rebound
- Tyrese Maxey misses technical free throw 1 of 1
- Spencer Jones personal foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)
- 76ers offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot96-100
- Jalen Pickett personal foul
- +1Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 296-100
- +1Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 296-100
- Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- 76ers personal foul
- 76ers turnover
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot96-100
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nuggets defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Joel Embiid defensive rebound
- Peyton Watson misses two point jump shot
- +376ers makes three point jump shot96-100
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot96-100
- +376ers makes three point jump shot96-100
- VJ Edgecombe blocks Bruce Brown's three point jump shot
- End of 1st Half.
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- +3Quentin Grimes makes three point jump shot58-58
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- 76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Joel Embiid)
- +2Peyton Watson makes two point jump shot58-55
- +276ers makes two point jump shot58-58
- VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Peyton Watson defensive rebound
- Joel Embiid misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot58-58
- Bruce Brown defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- +2Peyton Watson makes two point pullup jump shot (DaRon Holmes II assists)58-58
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 2 of 258-58
- +1Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 1 of 258-58
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +3Jalen Pickett makes three point stepback jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)58-58
- Spencer Jones defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot49-51
- 76ers personal foul
- 76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Joel Embiid)
- Peyton Watson defensive rebound
- Adem Bona turnover (lost ball)
- Jared McCain misses three point running pullup jump shot
- Joel Embiid defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot46-51
- Joel Embiid offensive rebound
- Joel Embiid misses two point jump shot
- Jalen Pickett turnover (lost ball) (Tyrese Maxey steals)
- +276ers makes two point jump shot58-58
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Nuggets lineup change (DaRon Holmes II, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
- Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot58-58
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 1 of 158-58
- +2Hunter Tyson makes two point jump shot (DaRon Holmes II assists)46-44
- +3Jared McCain makes three point jump shot (Quentin Grimes assists)52-51
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot58-58
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 1 of 249-51
- +1Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 2 of 249-51
- Adem Bona misses two point putback dunk
- DaRon Holmes II turnover (bad pass)
- Hunter Tyson misses three point jump shot
- DaRon Holmes II offensive rebound
- Bruce Brown defensive rebound
- Adem Bona offensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Adem Bona misses two point putback dunk
- Nuggets defensive rebound
- Quentin Grimes misses three point jump shot
- Instant replay (Challenge)
- 76ers personal foul
- 76ers 60 second timeout
- 76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona, Jared McCain, Joel Embiid)
- Hunter Tyson misses two point layup
- 76ers defensive rebound
- Nuggets lineup change (DaRon Holmes II, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson)
- 76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona, Jared McCain, Joel Embiid)
- Curtis Jones defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot41-39
- Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
- +276ers makes two point jump shot41-39
- Nuggets personal foul
- Adem Bona misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson, Curtis Jones, Peyton Watson)
- Paul George defensive rebound
- Julian Strawther misses three point stepback jump shot
- +3Paul George makes three point jump shot (Jared McCain assists)41-39
- Zeke Nnaji turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
- Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
- Zeke Nnaji misses three point pullup jump shot
- Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- +3Hunter Tyson makes three point jump shot (Julian Strawther assists)41-39
- Adem Bona offensive rebound
- +2Adem Bona makes two point jump shot41-39
- VJ Edgecombe misses two point jump shot
- +2Julian Strawther makes two point driving layup41-39
- Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
- Paul George misses three point pullup jump shot
- +3Zeke Nnaji makes three point jump shot41-39
- Jared McCain turnover (traveling)
- VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
- Peyton Watson misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot
- +3Paul George makes three point jump shot41-39
- Paul George shooting foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
- +1Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 1 of 241-39
- +1Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 249-51
- Quentin Grimes turnover
- Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
- Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
- +2Adem Bona makes two point running layup (Quentin Grimes assists)41-39
- Hunter Tyson turnover (Paul George steals)
- Adem Bona personal foul (Zeke Nnaji draws the foul)
- Peyton Watson defensive rebound
- Julian Strawther shooting foul (Quentin Grimes draws the foul)
- +1Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 1 of 241-39
- Quentin Grimes misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- 76ers lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Jared McCain, Paul George)
- 76ers offensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Hunter Tyson, Curtis Jones, Peyton Watson)
- 76ers lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Jared McCain, Jabari Walker)
- Adem Bona defensive rebound
- Nuggets defensive rebound
- 76ers personal foul
- Julian Strawther misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Julian Strawther misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Jared McCain misses three point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot29-29
- Nuggets defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- 76ers personal foul
- +1Zeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 1 of 229-29
- +1Zeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 2 of 229-29
- +376ers makes three point jump shot29-26
- Adem Bona defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot29-26
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones, Hunter Tyson, Curtis Jones)
- Nuggets turnover
- Julian Strawther defensive rebound
- Quentin Grimes misses three point jump shot
- Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
- Zeke Nnaji misses two point jump shot
- Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
- Curtis Jones misses three point jump shot
- Tyrese Maxey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
- Jabari Walker defensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets vs. 76ers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nuggets vs. 76ers
- Date: Monday, January 5, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: 76ers favored at -14.5
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +650, 76ers -900
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nuggets: 14%
- 76ers: 86%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 108-121 76ers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 14%, while the 76ers have a win probability of 86%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the 76ers are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nuggets vs. 76ers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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