Hawks vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks & Odds
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hawks | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
Rockets | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
- Hawks
- Rockets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hawks | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
Rockets | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
- Kingston Flemings personal foul
- Jock Landale misses three point jump shot
- Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
- +2Jock Landale makes two point jump shot0-0
- Kevin Durant personal foul (Jock Landale draws the foul)
- Kingston Flemings turnover (Jabari Smith Jr. steals)
- Hawks defensive rebound
- Rockets turnover
- Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
- Clint Capela offensive rebound
- Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
- Jock Landale misses three point jump shot
- Tari Eason personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
- Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
- Jock Landale offensive rebound
- Aaron Wiggins personal foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)
- Hawks misses two point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot0-0
- Alperen Sengun shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
- +1Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 238-38
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot38-38
- Hawks misses three point jump shot
- Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
- Fred VanVleet personal foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
- Rockets turnover
- Hawks turnover
- +2CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot0-0
- +2Alperen Sengun makes two point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)0-0
- Hawks personal foul
- Rockets 60 second timeout
- Rockets violation
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Hawks vs. Rockets prediction & analysis
Game overview: NBA Monday
- Teams: Atlanta Hawks vs. Houston Rockets
- Date: Monday, October 26, 2026
- Tip-off: 8:30PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center
Current betting odds
- Spread: Hawks (+4.5, +102), Rockets (-4.5, -104)
- Moneyline: Hawks +178, Rockets -182
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points (-113/+108)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Hawks: 35.7%
- Rockets: 64.3%
Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Hawks 112 and Rockets 116.
This is a margin of 4 points against a spread of 4.5, and a projected total of 228 points against a market line of 228.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hawks a win probability of 35.7%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 64.3%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Monday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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