Mavericks vs. Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds
Dimers' Mavericks vs. Heat prediction for Monday, October 26, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, spread, and game total.
LIVE
3rd 0:06
NBA
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LIVE
3rd 0:06
Updating LIVE
NBA
Mavericks
113
:
109
Kaseya Center
Heat
Kaseya Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 23 | 24 | 66 | 0 | 113 |
Heat | 27 | 23 | 59 | 0 | 109 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Mavericks
- Heat
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 23 | 24 | 66 | 0 | 113 |
Heat | 27 | 23 | 59 | 0 | 109 |
Q4 00:05 Zaccharie Risacher blocks Davion Mitchell's two point driving layup
Q4 2:40 Morez Johnson Jr. makes two point tip layup
Q4 4:23 Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:41 Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
Q4 4:52 Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:07 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:12 Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:57 Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot
Q4 7:14 Zaccharie Risacher misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:17 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4 ALL
- Zaccharie Risacher blocks Davion Mitchell's two point driving layup
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- +2Morez Johnson Jr. makes two point tip layup108-103
- Davion Mitchell turnover (Zaccharie Risacher steals)
- Mavericks personal foul
- +2Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot113-109
- +2Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)113-109
- +2Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot103-97
- Pelle Larsson personal foul
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Walter Clayton Jr. shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
- +2Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot113-109
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, Daniel Gafford, Max Christie, Walter Clayton Jr.)
- Walter Clayton Jr. shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)
- +2Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot113-109
- Zaccharie Risacher misses two point jump shot
- Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
- P.J. Washington personal foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Zaccharie Risacher offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- P.J. Washington offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
- Mavericks turnover
- Bobby Portis Jr. misses two point jump shot
- Heat lineup change (Bobby Portis Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson)
- Bobby Portis Jr. shooting foul (Walter Clayton Jr. draws the foul)
- +1Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1113-109
- Heat 60 second timeout
- +2Walter Clayton Jr. makes two point jump shot113-109
- Cooper Flagg blocks Giannis Antetokounmpo's two point driving layup
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot113-109
- +2Heat makes two point tip layup86-90
- Bobby Portis Jr. misses two point tip layup
- Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Bobby Portis Jr. offensive rebound
- Zaccharie Risacher misses three point jump shot
- Bobby Portis Jr. turnover (P.J. Washington steals)
- Max Christie misses three point jump shot
- Bobby Portis Jr. defensive rebound
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2113-109
- Kyrie Irving defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Other)
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Heat defensive rebound
- Bobby Portis Jr. misses three point jump shot
- Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot86-87
- +1Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2113-109
- Max Christie personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
- Heat offensive rebound
- Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- +3P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot113-109
- Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
- Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
- Zaccharie Risacher misses three point jump shot
- Bobby Portis Jr. defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Kyrie Irving defensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot113-109
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot113-109
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Jump ball. (Pelle Larsson gains possession)
- Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
- P.J. Washington personal foul
- P.J. Washington turnover (offensive foul)
- Daniel Gafford personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Heat offensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Kyrie Irving)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Kyrie Irving misses three point jump shot
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Kyrie Irving defensive rebound
- Dru Smith personal foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2113-109
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2113-109
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, Daniel Gafford, Max Christie, Kyrie Irving)
- Zaccharie Risacher personal foul
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 274-80
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2103-97
- Kyrie Irving misses three point jump shot
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Pelle Larsson personal foul (Walter Clayton Jr. draws the foul)
- Tim Hardaway Jr. kicked ball violation
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot113-109
- Heat lineup change (Bobby Portis Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Dru Smith, Tim Hardaway Jr., Pelle Larsson)
- Bobby Portis Jr. personal foul
- Heat lineup change (Bobby Portis Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Pelle Larsson)
- Mavericks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Daniel Gafford, Max Christie, Walter Clayton Jr., Kyrie Irving)
- Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point driving floating jump shot (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)113-109
- Heat turnover
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Bobby Portis Jr. defensive rebound
- Bobby Portis Jr. turnover
- Cooper Flagg turnover
- Bobby Portis Jr. misses three point jump shot
- Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Other)
- Heat lineup change (Bobby Portis Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson)
- Heat 60 second timeout
- +3Walter Clayton Jr. makes three point jump shot113-109
- Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
- Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Bobby Portis Jr. defensive rebound
- +2Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point jump shot (Klay Thompson assists)113-109
- +2Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)113-109
- +2Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point jump shot67-77
- Daniel Gafford personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
- +1Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 1113-109
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Walter Clayton Jr.)
- Heat lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson)
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Walter Clayton Jr.)
- Heat lineup change (Bobby Portis Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson)
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Kyrie Irving)
- Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
- Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
- Daniel Gafford turnover (Davion Mitchell steals)
- Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
- Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot113-109
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot67-77
- P.J. Washington turnover (lost ball)
- Jump ball. Giannis Antetokounmpo vs. P.J. Washington (Bam Adebayo gains possession)
- P.J. Washington turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Kyrie Irving offensive rebound
- Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
- Max Christie personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
- +2Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point jump shot113-109
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving)
- +2Daniel Gafford makes two point putback layup113-109
- Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
- Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot113-109
- Mavericks turnover
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot113-109
- +2Kyrie Irving makes two point jump shot (Daniel Gafford assists)113-109
- Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Kyrie Irving)
- Morez Johnson Jr. personal foul
- Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
- Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
- +3Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot57-60
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot113-109
- Mavericks personal foul
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- +2Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)111-109
- Daniel Gafford shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
- Mavericks lineup change (Morez Johnson Jr., Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Kyrie Irving)
- +1Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 1113-109
- Stoppage (Other)
- Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- +3Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)103-97
- Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
- +1Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2103-97
- +1Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2111-109
- +3Davion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)86-90
- +2Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)74-80
- Klay Thompson personal foul
- Kyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
- Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- End of 1st Half.
- Heat lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson)
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Kyrie Irving)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo turnover
- Mavericks lineup change (Morez Johnson Jr., Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving)
- Heat lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson)
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Morez Johnson Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
- Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
- Heat lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson, Pelle Larsson)
- Mavericks lineup change (Morez Johnson Jr., Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, P.J. Washington, Walter Clayton Jr.)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot47-50
- +2Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)47-50
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot47-50
- Giannis Antetokounmpo turnover (lost ball)
- Andrew Wiggins personal foul
- Jump ball. P.J. Washington vs. Giannis Antetokounmpo (Cooper Flagg gains possession)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Morez Johnson Jr. misses two point layup
- Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Mavericks turnover
- Mavericks lineup change (Morez Johnson Jr., Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Walter Clayton Jr., Kyrie Irving)
- Andrew Wiggins blocks Zaccharie Risacher's two point layup
- Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
- Mavericks turnover
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot47-50
- Heat turnover
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Heat technical foul
- Heat lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson)
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot47-50
- Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
- Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot47-50
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot47-50
- Mavericks personal foul
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot47-50
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot38-48
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot36-48
- Instant replay
- Daniel Gafford personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
- +1Giannis Antetokounmpo makes flagrant free throw 1 of 236-46
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Walter Clayton Jr.)
- Heat lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses flagrant free throw 2 of 2
- Heat offensive rebound
- Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson, Pelle Larsson)
- Daniel Gafford technical foul (Double)
- Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson, Pelle Larsson)
- Heat lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson)
- Heat lineup change (Bobby Portis Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Walter Clayton Jr.)
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
- Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
- P.J. Washington offensive rebound
- P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot36-45
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat lineup change (Bobby Portis Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)36-43
- Giannis Antetokounmpo turnover
- Dru Smith personal foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 233-43
- Heat lineup change (Bobby Portis Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 234-43
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving)
- Heat violation
- +2Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point jump shot36-45
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot32-41
- +2Heat makes two point tip layup30-41
- Bobby Portis Jr. misses two point jump shot
- Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
- Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
- Bobby Portis Jr. offensive rebound
- Mavericks turnover
- Bobby Portis Jr. misses three point jump shot
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Mavericks turnover
- Marcus Sasser offensive rebound
- P.J. Washington misses two point floating jump shot
- Giannis Antetokounmpo turnover
- Stoppage (Other)
- Kyrie Irving misses three point jump shot
- Heat defensive rebound
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Tim Hardaway Jr. personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (Morez Johnson Jr., P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Marcus Sasser, Kyrie Irving)
- Stoppage (Injury)
- +3Dru Smith makes three point jump shot30-39
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- +3Bobby Portis Jr. makes three point jump shot30-36
- +2Kyrie Irving makes two point jump shot (Morez Johnson Jr. assists)30-33
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot28-33
- +2Morez Johnson Jr. makes two point jump shot28-30
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot26-30
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot26-27
- Stoppage (Other)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Mavericks lineup change (Morez Johnson Jr., P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Sergio de Larrea, Kyrie Irving)
- Mavericks personal foul
- Cooper Flagg turnover (offensive foul)
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot23-27
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot23-24
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Kyrie Irving offensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot21-24
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Marcus Sasser, Kyrie Irving)
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot21-22
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot21-19
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Heat turnover
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Heat lineup change (Bobby Portis Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Dru Smith, Tim Hardaway Jr., Pelle Larsson)
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, Daniel Gafford, Sergio de Larrea, Marcus Sasser)
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Bobby Portis Jr. defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Morez Johnson Jr. defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Bobby Portis Jr. defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Sergio de Larrea defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Bobby Portis Jr. defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Zaccharie Risacher offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Bobby Portis Jr. defensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot21-17
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot21-15
- Stoppage (Other)
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot19-15
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Mavericks personal foul
- Bobby Portis Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Heat offensive rebound
- Mavericks lineup change (Morez Johnson Jr., Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, Sergio de Larrea, Marcus Sasser)
- +1Bobby Portis Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 219-13
- Mavericks turnover
- Mavericks personal foul
- Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Heat offensive rebound
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 219-12
- Mavericks personal foul
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Heat lineup change (Bobby Portis Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson)
- Mavericks lineup change (Morez Johnson Jr., Cooper Flagg, Zaccharie Risacher, Max Christie, Kyrie Irving)
- +1Kyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 218-11
- +1Kyrie Irving makes regular free throw 2 of 219-11
- Heat turnover
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Kyrie Irving offensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot17-11
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot17-9
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
- Mavericks personal foul
- Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Heat offensive rebound
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 215-9
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot15-8
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot12-8
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot12-6
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot10-6
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot10-4
- Heat turnover
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot7-4
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot4-4
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot4-2
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Klay Thompson defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Kyrie Irving offensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot2-2
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 21-0
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 22-0
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Kyrie Irving)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks vs. Heat prediction & analysis
Game overview: NBA Monday
- Teams: Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat
- Date: Monday, October 26, 2026
- Tip-off: 7:30PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current betting odds
- Spread: Mavericks (+7.5, +100), Heat (-7.5, +100)
- Moneyline: Mavericks +245, Heat -245
- Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points (-113/+108)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Mavericks: 24.7%
- Heat: 75.3%
Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Mavericks 115 and Heat 122.
This is a margin of 7 points against a spread of 7.5, and a projected total of 237 points against a market line of 239.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 24.7%, while the Heat have a win probability of 75.3%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Monday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
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