Pacers vs. Bucks Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Pacers vs. Bucks prediction for Monday, October 26, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, spread, and game total.
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Pacers
101
:
108
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Bucks
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TEAM1234T
Pacers
45 43 -3 16 101
Bucks
44 50 -10 24 108
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pacers
    39%
  • Bucks
    61%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pacers
45 43 -3 16 101
Bucks
44 50 -10 24 108
Q4 1:00 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Kyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
Q4 2:19 Kasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:53 Myles Turner blocks Pascal Siakam's two point driving layup
Q4 5:27 Ryan Rollins makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
Q4 6:27 Bucks makes three point jump shot
Q3 00:05 Tyrese Haliburton misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:03 Tyrese Haliburton blocks Kasparas Jakucionis's three point jump shot
Q3 2:31 Obi Toppin makes two point jump shot
Q3 2:46 Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q4
  1. Q4 00:20
    Kyle Kuzma personal foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)
  2. Q4 00:27
    Kyle Kuzma turnover
  3. Q4 00:35
    Bucks turnover
  4. Q4 00:35
    Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith, Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam)
  5. Q4 1:00
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  6. Q4 1:15
    Myles Turner personal foul
  7. Q4 1:53
    +3
    Kyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
    100-108
  8. Q4 2:11
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    99-105
  9. Q4 2:19
    +3
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot
    98-105
  10. Q4 2:31
    Myles Turner defensive rebound
  11. Q4 2:43
    Jarace Walker personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
  12. Q4 2:53
    Myles Turner blocks Pascal Siakam's two point driving layup
  13. Q4 3:01
    Jay Huff offensive rebound
  14. Q4 3:13
    Tyrese Haliburton defensive rebound
  15. Q4 4:27
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  16. Q4 5:27
    +2
    Ryan Rollins makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
    100-108
  17. Q4 6:27
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    98-105
  18. Q4 7:13
    Bucks personal foul
  19. Q4 7:37
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  20. Q3 00:05
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  21. Q3 00:05
    Tyrese Haliburton misses two point jump shot
  22. Q3 00:26
    Brayden Burries turnover (Jarace Walker steals)
  23. Q3 1:12
    Bucks turnover
  24. Q3 1:50
    Bucks lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, AJ Green, Brayden Burries, Kel'el Ware, Nate Ament)
  25. Q3 2:03
    Tyrese Haliburton blocks Kasparas Jakucionis's three point jump shot
  26. Q3 2:03
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  27. Q3 2:31
    +2
    Obi Toppin makes two point jump shot
    100-108
  28. Q3 2:46
    Obi Toppin defensive rebound
  29. Q3 2:46
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
  30. Q3 2:52
    +2
    Jalen Slawson makes two point tip layup
    100-108
  31. Q3 2:56
    Aaron Nesmith misses two point jump shot
  32. Q3 2:56
    Jalen Slawson offensive rebound
  33. Q3 3:29
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)
  34. Q3 3:54
    +2
    Aaron Nesmith makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)
    88-94
  35. Q3 4:41
    Jarace Walker blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point layup
  36. Q3 4:43
    Ryan Rollins misses three point jump shot
  37. Q3 5:10
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    100-108
  38. Q3 5:16
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  39. Q3 5:25
    Tyler Herro personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
  40. Q3 5:51
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  41. Q3 5:51
    Myles Turner defensive rebound
  42. Q3 6:07
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
  43. Q3 6:20
    Stoppage (Other)
  44. Q3 6:22
    Larry Nance Jr. misses three point jump shot
  45. Q3 6:22
    Bucks defensive rebound
  46. Q3 6:33
    +3
    Tyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)
    100-108
  47. Q3 6:45
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  48. Q3 6:47
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  49. Q3 6:47
    Bucks defensive rebound
  50. Q3 7:14
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    71-66
  51. Q3 7:41
    Tyler Herro misses two point driving layup
  52. Q3 7:56
    +2
    Jay Huff makes two point running dunk (Tyrese Haliburton assists)
    85-84
  53. Q3 8:32
    Myles Turner misses two point driving layup
  54. Q3 8:32
    Myles Turner offensive rebound
  55. Q3 9:03
    Obi Toppin offensive rebound
  56. Q3 9:40
    +3
    Tyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Myles Turner assists)
    71-63
  57. Q3 10:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  58. Q3 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., Jay Huff, Aaron Nesmith, Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam)
  59. Q3 12:00
    Bucks lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma, Myles Turner)
  60. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  61. Q3 12:00
    Bucks lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma, Myles Turner)
  62. Q2 00:01
    Bucks misses heave shot
  63. Q2 00:01
    Bucks offensive rebound
  64. Q2 00:05
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
    85-84
  65. Q2 00:10
    Ryan Rollins personal foul
  66. Q2 00:10
    Bucks lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma, Myles Turner)
  67. Q2 00:30
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  68. Q2 00:30
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  69. Q2 00:53
    Stoppage (Other)
  70. Q2 00:53
    Pacers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., Jarace Walker, Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam)
  71. Q2 00:55
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  72. Q2 00:55
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  73. Q2 1:12
    Myles Turner offensive foul (Kelly Oubre Jr. draws the foul)
  74. Q2 1:12
    Myles Turner turnover (offensive foul)
  75. Q2 1:12
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Obi Toppin, Quenton Jackson, Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam)
  76. Q2 1:12
    Bucks violation
  77. Q2 1:21
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    85-84
  78. Q2 1:29
    Stoppage (Other)
  79. Q2 1:33
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    85-84
  80. Q2 1:48
    Pacers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., Jarace Walker, Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam)
  81. Q2 1:48
    Pacers personal foul
  82. Q2 1:48
    Jay Huff turnover (offensive foul)
  83. Q2 2:02
    Bucks lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro, Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma, Myles Turner)
  84. Q2 2:02
    Stoppage (Other)
  85. Q2 2:06
    Pacers defensive rebound
  86. Q2 2:06
    Myles Turner misses three point jump shot
  87. Q2 2:20
    +2
    Obi Toppin makes two point jump shot (Kelly Oubre Jr. assists)
    85-84
  88. Q2 2:35
    Bucks personal foul
  89. Q2 2:35
    Pacers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton)
  90. Q2 2:40
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  91. Q2 2:40
    Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
  92. Q2 2:50
    Myles Turner defensive rebound
  93. Q2 2:50
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  94. Q2 3:00
    +2
    Bucks makes two point tip layup
    71-69
  95. Q2 3:04
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  96. Q2 3:04
    Bucks offensive rebound
  97. Q2 3:14
    Pacers misses two point tip layup
  98. Q2 3:14
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  99. Q2 3:17
    Kelly Oubre Jr. offensive rebound
  100. Q2 3:17
    Kelly Oubre Jr. misses two point jump shot
  101. Q2 3:24
    Jarace Walker offensive rebound
  102. Q2 3:24
    Larry Nance Jr. misses three point jump shot
  103. Q2 3:40
    Tyler Herro personal foul
  104. Q2 3:40
    Tyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)
  105. Q2 3:40
    Pacers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Kelly Oubre Jr., Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam)
  106. Q2 3:40
    Pacers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Kelly Oubre Jr., Jarace Walker, Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton)
  107. Q2 3:45
    Pascal Siakam turnover (palming) (Tyler Herro steals)
  108. Q2 3:45
    Pacers personal foul
  109. Q2 4:09
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  110. Q2 4:09
    Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
  111. Q2 4:14
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  112. Q2 4:14
    Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
  113. Q2 4:29
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    71-69
  114. Q2 4:43
    +2
    Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
    71-66
  115. Q2 4:51
    Quenton Jackson personal foul (Loose ball) (Ryan Rollins draws the foul)
  116. Q2 4:51
    Larry Nance Jr. turnover (lost ball)
  117. Q2 4:51
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
  118. Q2 4:51
    Bucks lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Myles Turner, Ousmane Dieng)
  119. Q2 4:51
    Pacers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Kelly Oubre Jr., Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
  120. Q2 4:52
    Pacers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
  121. Q2 4:52
    Pacers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Kelly Oubre Jr., Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
  122. Q2 4:52
    Bucks lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Myles Turner, Ousmane Dieng)
  123. Q2 4:52
    Quenton Jackson turnover (offensive foul)
  124. Q2 4:52
    Pacers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
  125. Q2 4:52
    Pacers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Kelly Oubre Jr., Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
  126. Q2 4:52
    Bucks lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Myles Turner, Ousmane Dieng)
  127. Q2 4:52
    Pacers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Kelly Oubre Jr., Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
  128. Q2 4:52
    Bucks lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Myles Turner, Ousmane Dieng)
  129. Q2 4:52
    Bucks lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Myles Turner, Ousmane Dieng)
  130. Q2 4:52
    Bucks lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma)
  131. Q2 4:52
    Bucks lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Myles Turner, Ousmane Dieng)
  132. Q2 4:52
    Pacers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
  133. Q2 4:52
    Pacers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Kelly Oubre Jr., Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
  134. Q2 4:58
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  135. Q2 4:58
    Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
  136. Q2 5:23
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    59-50
  137. Q2 5:30
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  138. Q2 5:30
    Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
  139. Q2 5:38
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  140. Q2 5:38
    Larry Nance Jr. misses three point jump shot
  141. Q2 5:53
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  142. Q2 5:53
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  143. Q2 6:08
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  144. Q2 6:08
    Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
  145. Q2 6:18
    Aaron Nesmith blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point jump shot
  146. Q2 6:18
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  147. Q2 6:33
    +3
    Pascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Quenton Jackson assists)
    48-44
  148. Q2 6:39
    Stoppage (Other)
  149. Q2 6:39
    Bucks lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma)
  150. Q2 6:50
    Kel'el Ware personal foul (Loose ball) (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
  151. Q2 6:53
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  152. Q2 6:53
    Pacers defensive rebound
  153. Q2 7:08
    +2
    Jarace Walker makes two point jump shot (Quenton Jackson assists)
    59-50
  154. Q2 7:23
    Pacers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
  155. Q2 7:23
    Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma)
  156. Q2 7:23
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  157. Q2 7:27
    +3
    Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot (AJ Green assists)
    48-44
  158. Q2 7:35
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  159. Q2 7:35
    AJ Green defensive rebound
  160. Q2 7:49
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    48-44
  161. Q2 7:59
    +2
    Tyrese Haliburton makes two point jump shot
    59-50
  162. Q2 8:15
    +3
    Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot
    48-44
  163. Q2 8:25
    Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
  164. Q2 8:25
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  165. Q2 8:41
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  166. Q2 8:41
    Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot
  167. Q2 8:56
    +3
    Jay Huff makes three point jump shot
    71-69
  168. Q2 8:56
    Instant replay
  169. Q2 8:57
    Jay Huff turnover (out of bounds step)
  170. Q2 9:17
    +3
    AJ Green makes three point jump shot (Brayden Burries assists)
    48-44
  171. Q2 9:22
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  172. Q2 9:22
    AJ Green offensive rebound
  173. Q2 9:38
    +3
    Tyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (Jay Huff assists)
    48-44
  174. Q2 9:56
    +2
    Brayden Burries makes two point driving floating jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)
    45-44
  175. Q2 10:10
    Quenton Jackson personal foul
  176. Q2 10:21
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  177. Q2 10:22
    +2
    Jay Huff makes two point jump shot (Quenton Jackson assists)
    48-44
  178. Q2 10:30
    Brayden Burries misses three point jump shot
  179. Q2 10:30
    Tyrese Haliburton defensive rebound
  180. Q2 10:49
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point jump shot (Quenton Jackson assists)
    48-44
  181. Q2 10:55
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  182. Q2 10:55
    Tyrese Haliburton defensive rebound
  183. Q2 11:05
    +3
    Jarace Walker makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)
    48-44
  184. Q2 11:24
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  185. Q2 11:24
    AJ Green misses three point jump shot
  186. Q2 11:36
    +2
    Quenton Jackson makes two point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)
    31-31
  187. Q1 00:00
    +2
    Tyrese Haliburton makes two point jump shot
    45-44
  188. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  189. Q2 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Quenton Jackson, Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam)
  190. Q2 12:00
    Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Brayden Burries, Kel'el Ware, Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma)
  191. Q1 00:02
    Bucks turnover
  192. Q1 00:28
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  193. Q1 00:28
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  194. Q1 00:40
    Nate Ament misses two point jump shot
  195. Q1 00:40
    Tyrese Haliburton defensive rebound
  196. Q1 00:56
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  197. Q1 00:56
    Bucks personal foul
  198. Q1 00:56
    +1
    Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    46-41
  199. Q1 00:56
    Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  200. Q1 1:00
    Pacers personal foul
  201. Q1 1:00
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    38-31
  202. Q1 1:00
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    46-41
  203. Q1 1:19
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    38-31
  204. Q1 1:29
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    38-31
  205. Q1 1:45
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  206. Q1 1:45
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  207. Q1 1:56
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  208. Q1 1:56
    Obi Toppin defensive rebound
  209. Q1 2:10
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    31-31
  210. Q1 2:22
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    31-31
  211. Q1 2:34
    AJ Green defensive rebound
  212. Q1 2:34
    Larry Nance Jr. misses three point jump shot
  213. Q1 2:52
    +2
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes two point jump shot
    31-31
  214. Q1 3:03
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  215. Q1 3:03
    Pacers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Kelly Oubre Jr., Jarace Walker, Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton)
  216. Q1 3:03
    Bucks lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, AJ Green, Brayden Burries, Kel'el Ware, Nate Ament)
  217. Q1 3:05
    +3
    Jarace Walker makes three point jump shot (Obi Toppin assists)
    27-31
  218. Q1 3:26
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  219. Q1 3:26
    Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
  220. Q1 3:39
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  221. Q1 3:39
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  222. Q1 3:51
    Obi Toppin personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
  223. Q1 3:51
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    19-22
  224. Q1 3:51
    Pacers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Kelly Oubre Jr., Jarace Walker, Obi Toppin, Quenton Jackson)
  225. Q1 3:51
    Bucks lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, AJ Green, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Nate Ament)
  226. Q1 3:51
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    27-31
  227. Q1 4:00
    +3
    Obi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)
    19-21
  228. Q1 4:05
    Bucks turnover
  229. Q1 4:10
    Nate Ament defensive rebound
  230. Q1 4:10
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  231. Q1 4:27
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    27-31
  232. Q1 4:49
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  233. Q1 4:49
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  234. Q1 4:59
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  235. Q1 4:59
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  236. Q1 5:12
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    19-22
  237. Q1 5:12
    Bucks personal foul
  238. Q1 5:12
    Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  239. Q1 5:12
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  240. Q1 5:16
    Bucks personal foul
  241. Q1 5:22
    Larry Nance Jr. offensive foul
  242. Q1 5:22
    Larry Nance Jr. personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
  243. Q1 5:22
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    15-17
  244. Q1 5:22
    Bucks lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, AJ Green, Tyler Herro, Myles Turner, Nate Ament)
  245. Q1 5:22
    Larry Nance Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
  246. Q1 5:22
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    19-22
  247. Q1 5:34
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    15-17
  248. Q1 5:38
    Bucks turnover
Box Score
Pacers
PosPlayerPts
Bucks
PosPlayerPts

Pacers vs. Bucks prediction & analysis

Game overview: NBA Monday

  • Teams: Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
  • Date: Monday, October 26, 2026
  • Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Pacers (-4.5, +100), Bucks (+4.5, -103)
  • Moneyline: Pacers -156, Bucks +153
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points (-106/+104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Pacers: 63.3%
  • Bucks: 36.7%

Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Pacers 121 and Bucks 117.

This is a margin of 4 points against a spread of 4.5, and a projected total of 238 points against a market line of 238.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

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Join Dimers Pro for the full betting analysis on Pacers vs. Bucks, including:

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 63.3%, while the Bucks have a win probability of 36.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pacers are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Fiserv Forum on Monday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

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