Juarez vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [9/4/2026]

Juarez will take on Pachuca in Liga MX action on Friday, commencing at 11:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Pachuca as the most likely winner in this Juarez vs. Pachuca prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

Juarez vs. Pachuca prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Liga MX game between Juarez and Pachuca, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 32.4% chance of Juarez winning, a 42.4% chance for Pachuca, and a 25.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52.6% chance of going over, with a 56.1% chance that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Pachuca +110, Juarez +250
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Juarez @ +250 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -114 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Juarez to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Juarez 1-1 Pachuca (11.9% probability)
• Juarez 0-1 Pachuca (9.3%)
• Juarez 1-2 Pachuca (8.9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Friday's Liga MX matchup between Juarez and Pachuca is scheduled to start at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Juarez vs. Pachuca
• Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
• Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Juarez has a 32.4% win probability on Friday, Pachuca has a 42.4% win probability, and there is a 25.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.