Brewers vs. Rays prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Game 3 of 2026 World Series

The Tampa Bay Rays will take on the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 3 of the World Series at Tropicana Field on Monday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.

Freddy Peralta (2-0, 1.08 ERA in 2026 postseason) will start on the mound for the Rays, while the Brewers have opted for Robert Gasser (0-0, 1.00 ERA).

Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Rays a slight edge with a 52.0% win probability over the Brewers.

This article offers a complete Brewers vs. Rays prediction, including best bets and picks.

Brewers vs. Rays prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB matchup between the Brewers and Rays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Rays a 52.0% chance of beating the Brewers. According to our model, the Rays (+1.5) have a 56.2% chance of covering the run line, while the 6.5-run over/under has a 60.3% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Run Line: Brewers -1.5 (+186) / Rays +1.5 (-190)
• Moneyline: Brewers +106, Rays -108
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-133/+127)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for Game 3

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Run line: Brewers -1.5 @ 35¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Rays @ 52¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 6.5 @ 57¢ via Novig

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Brewers -1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first pitch details

Monday's MLB game between the Rays and Brewers at Tropicana Field is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
• Date: Monday, October 26, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00 PM PT
• Venue: Tropicana Field

Conclusion

We predict the Rays, with a 52.0% win probability, will likely beat the Brewers in Monday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.