Queretaro vs. Monterrey prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [9/5/2026]

Queretaro will square off with Monterrey in Liga MX action at Estadio La Corregidora on Saturday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Monterrey as the most likely winner in this Queretaro vs. Monterrey prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Queretaro vs. Monterrey prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Queretaro and Monterrey, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 27.9% chance of Queretaro winning, a 48.7% chance for Monterrey, and a 23.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58.5% chance of going over, with a 59.7% probability that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Monterrey +115, Queretaro +220
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-166/+130)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Monterrey @ +115 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +130 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Monterrey to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Queretaro 1-1 Monterrey (10.8% probability)
• Queretaro 1-2 Monterrey (9.5%)
• Queretaro 0-1 Monterrey (8.4%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.7% chance of both Queretaro and Monterrey finding the net and a 40.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Liga MX game between Queretaro and Monterrey at Estadio La Corregidora is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Queretaro vs. Monterrey
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio La Corregidora

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Queretaro has a 27.9% win probability on Saturday, Monterrey has a 48.7% win probability, and there is a 23.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.