Dallas Cowboys vs. Houston Texans: Experts release early Week 4 predictions [2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get early predictions for the upcoming Cowboys vs Texans NFL game.

Dallas Cowboys-Houston Texans Early Predictions and Betting Preview.
Reliant Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans this Sunday.

The Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans will meet in Week 4 of the NFL season at Reliant Stadium on Sunday, October 4, 2026, starting at 1:00 PM ET.

Initial simulations from Dimers' trusted NFL model favor the Texans as the most likely winner of this cross-conference meeting.

For updates all week long, including best bets, player prop projections and touchdown probabilities, check out our interactive Cowboys vs. Texans predictions page.

Dallas vs. Houston early predictions

Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Cowboys vs. Texans game 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:

  • Straight up win probabilities: Cowboys 43.1%, Texans 56.9%
  • Predicted final score: Cowboys 23-25 Texans
  • Spread: Cowboys (+2.5) 53.9%, Texans (-2.5) 46.1%
  • Total points (47.5): Over 52.8%, Under 47.2%

As of September 28, 2026, these Cowboys-Texans numbers and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.

 

Cowboys vs. Texans Week 4 details

Sunday's game between the Texans and Cowboys at Reliant Stadium is scheduled for October 4, 2026.

Cowboys vs. Texans opening odds

We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Week 4 game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Cowboys +2.5 (+100), Texans -2.5 (-104)
  • Moneyline: Cowboys +127, Texans -133
  • Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-106/+100)

Odds may continue to move—track live changes via our NFL odds page.

NFL Week 4 promo

Using our full NFL Week 3 promo code guide, you can make the most of Dimers' Cowboys vs. Texans predictions with the offer below — Polymarket code "DIMERS" securing a $50 bonus on a $10 first deposit:


Conclusion

We predict the Texans, with a 56.9% win probability, will likely beat the Cowboys in Week 4 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Cowboys vs. Texans game, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on NFL

Stay informed with the latest NFL news and data-driven parlay picks all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds for top predictions and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division. &&&&&& AppContent:

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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