Jaguars vs. Ravens prediction favors Jacksonville to win TNF Week 9 [2026]

Since our Jaguars-Ravens predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's NFL game between the Jaguars and Ravens, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Jaguars an 81.2% chance of beating the Ravens in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Jaguars winning 24-14.

Key factors favoring the Jaguars:

• Ravens QB situation
• Jaguars team rating
• Jaguars QB matchup

According to our model, the Jaguars (-9.5) have a 52.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 39.5 points has a 51.3% chance of staying under.

Here's what's driving the under's higher probability::

• QB ratings
• Ravens recent performance

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 9 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Jaguars -9.5 (-108) / Ravens +9.5 (+108)
• Moneyline: Jaguars -441, Ravens +426
• Total: Over/Under 39.5 (-107/+106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Jaguars -9.5 @ 52¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Ravens @ 19¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 39.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 39.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Jaguars vs. Ravens TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Jaguars vs. Ravens?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for TNF, Bhayshul Tuten is most likely to score an anytime TD in Jaguars vs. Ravens.

Our projections give Tuten a 44.4% chance of getting in for six at M&T Bank Stadium, while the running back is an 11.3% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Jacksonville Jaguars

• Bhayshul Tuten (RB): 44.4% probability
• Chris Rodriguez (RB): 38.5%
• Parker Washington (WR): 36.8%
• Brenton Strange (TE): 23.9%
• Jakobi Meyers (WR): 21.5%

Baltimore Ravens

• Derrick Henry (RB): 42.2% prob.
• Zay Flowers (WR): 20.9%
• Mark Andrews (TE): 14.1%
• Justice Hill (RB): 13.8%
• Ja'Kobi Lane (WR): 9.3%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Jacksonville Jaguars

• Bhayshul Tuten (RB): 11.3% prob.
• Chris Rodriguez (RB): 9.4%
• Parker Washington (WR): 8.8%
• Brenton Strange (TE): 5.3%
• Jakobi Meyers (WR): 4.7%

Baltimore Ravens

• Derrick Henry (RB): 11.8% prob.
• Zay Flowers (WR): 5.0%
• Mark Andrews (TE): 3.3%
• Justice Hill (RB): 3.2%
• Ja'Kobi Lane (WR): 2.1%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jaguars and Ravens. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 9 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is projected for 235 passing yards, while the Ravens' Joe Fagnano is expected to throw for just 166 yards.

Jaguars rushing

• Bhayshul Tuten: 72 yds
• Chris Rodriguez: 29 yds
• Trevor Lawrence: 17 yds

Ravens rushing

• Derrick Henry: 72 yds
• Justice Hill: 19 yds
• Joe Fagnano: 16 yds

Jaguars receiving

• Parker Washington: 67 yds
• Jakobi Meyers: 44 yds
• Brenton Strange: 40 yds
• Brian Thomas: 20 yds
• Josh Cameron: 17 yds

Ravens receiving

• Zay Flowers: 53 yds
• Mark Andrews: 25 yds
• Ja'Kobi Lane: 22 yds
• Rashod Bateman: 21 yds
• Justice Hill: 17 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 9 matchup between the Ravens and Jaguars at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:15 PM ET.

• Who: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Baltimore Ravens
• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Time: 8:15 PM ET/5:15 PM PT
• Venue: M&T Bank Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Jaguars, with an 81.2% win probability, will likely beat the Ravens in Week 9 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.