Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights prediction favors Vegas to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [9/29/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 68.3% win probability for the Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena.

The Vegas Golden Knights and Chicago Blackhawks are scheduled to meet in the NHL at T-Mobile Arena on Tuesday, with puck drop at 10:30 PM ET.
Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Golden Knights as the most likely winner in this Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights prediction.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Golden Knights prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Golden Knights a 68.3% chance of beating the Blackhawks. According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 54.9% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51.2% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Puck Line: Blackhawks +1.5 (-115) / Golden Knights -1.5 (+105)
- Moneyline: Blackhawks +220, Golden Knights -258
- Total: Over/Under 6 (-110/-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Puck line: Blackhawks +1.5 @ -115 via ESPN BET
- Moneyline: Blackhawks @ +220 via BetMGM
- Total: Under 6 @ -110 via BetMGM
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Blackhawks +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights player props
Who will score a goal in Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights?
According to our model, Mark Stone is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights.
Our projections give Stone a 36.8% chance of scoring a goal at T-Mobile Arena, while the star is a 7.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Chicago Blackhawks
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 29.9% probability
- Roman Kantserov: 25.0% probability
- Patrick Kane: 22.3% probability
- Nick Lardis: 20.8% probability
- Ryan Donato: 18.1% probability
Vegas Golden Knights
- Mark Stone: 36.8% probability
- Jack Eichel: 32.3% probability
- Trevor Connelly: 29.7% probability
- Tomas Hertl: 28.7% probability
- Mitch Marner: 28.0% probability
First goal scorer predictions
Chicago Blackhawks
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 6.0% probability
- Roman Kantserov: 4.8% probability
- Patrick Kane: 4.1% probability
- Nick Lardis: 4.1% probability
- Anton Frondell: 3.3% probability
Vegas Golden Knights
- Mark Stone: 7.3% probability
- Jack Eichel: 6.6% probability
- Trevor Connelly: 5.5% probability
- Tomas Hertl: 5.2% probability
- Mitch Marner: 4.9% probability
Game info & puck drop details
Tuesday's action between the Golden Knights and Blackhawks at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to start at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Blackhawks vs. Vegas Golden Knights
- Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Golden Knights, with a 68.3% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks in Tuesday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



