Avalanche vs. Stars prediction favors Dallas to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/13/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Avalanche and Stars, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Stars a 50.2% chance of defeating the Avalanche. According to our model, the Avalanche (+1.5) have a 70.8% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 50.6% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Avalanche +1.5 (-250) / Stars -1.5 (+220)
• Moneyline: Avalanche +100, Stars -115
• Total: Over/Under 6 (+100/-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Avalanche +1.5 @ -250 via BetMGM
• Moneyline: Avalanche @ +100 via BetRivers
• Total: Over 6 @ +100 via bet365

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Avalanche to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Avalanche vs. Stars player props

Who will score a goal in Avalanche vs. Stars?

According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Stars.

Our projections give MacKinnon a 42.1% chance of scoring a goal at American Airlines Center, while the star is a 9.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 42.1% probability
• Martin Necas: 33.5% probability
• Brock Nelson: 28.5% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 28.3% probability
• Gabriel Landeskog: 19.1% probability

Dallas Stars

• Wyatt Johnston: 37.3% probability
• Jason Robertson: 36.7% probability
• Mikko Rantanen: 30.1% probability
• Roope Hintz: 23.3% probability
• Tyler Seguin: 20.3% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 9.3% probability
• Martin Necas: 7.0% probability
• Brock Nelson: 5.6% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 5.2% probability
• Jaden Schwartz: 3.5% probability

Dallas Stars

• Wyatt Johnston: 7.4% probability
• Jason Robertson: 7.3% probability
• Mikko Rantanen: 5.8% probability
• Roope Hintz: 4.6% probability
• Tyler Seguin: 3.4% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Tuesday's action between the Stars and Avalanche at American Airlines Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars
• Date: Tuesday, October 13, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: American Airlines Center

Conclusion

We predict the Stars, with a 50.2% win probability, will likely beat the Avalanche in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.