Penguins vs. Blackhawks prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/13/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Dimers' simulation model projects a 59.7% win probability for the Penguins at United Center.

The Pittsburgh Penguins take on the Chicago Blackhawks in NHL action.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Chicago Blackhawks NHL prediction for Tuesday, October 13, 2026.

The Chicago Blackhawks and Pittsburgh Penguins are scheduled to meet in the NHL at United Center on Tuesday, with puck drop at 8:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Penguins as the most likely winner in this Penguins vs. Blackhawks prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Penguins vs. Hawks prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL game between the Penguins and Blackhawks, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Penguins a 59.7% chance of beating the Blackhawks. According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 63.0% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 53.6% chance of staying under.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Puck Line: Penguins -1.5 (+160) / Blackhawks +1.5 (-175)
  • Moneyline: Penguins -152, Blackhawks +137
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-112/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Puck line: Blackhawks +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM
  • Moneyline: Penguins @ -152 via BetRivers
  • Total: Under 6.5 @ -105 via BetMGM

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Penguins vs. Blackhawks player props

Who will score a goal in Penguins vs. Blackhawks?

According to our model, Roman Kantserov is most likely to score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Blackhawks.

Our projections give Kantserov a 33.9% chance of scoring a goal at United Center, while the star is a 5.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Bryan Rust: 33.6% probability
  • Sidney Crosby: 33.1% probability
  • Rickard Rakell: 31.6% probability
  • Evgeni Malkin: 27.7% probability
  • Egor Chinakhov: 26.7% probability

Chicago Blackhawks

  • Roman Kantserov: 33.9% probability
  • Connor Bedard: 31.7% probability
  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 31.2% probability
  • Patrick Kane: 25.4% probability
  • Anton Frondell: 17.4% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Bryan Rust: 6.8% probability
  • Rickard Rakell: 5.9% probability
  • Sidney Crosby: 5.4% probability
  • Evgeni Malkin: 5.0% probability
  • Egor Chinakhov: 4.9% probability

Chicago Blackhawks

  • Roman Kantserov: 5.8% probability
  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 5.6% probability
  • Connor Bedard: 5.5% probability
  • Patrick Kane: 4.9% probability
  • Anton Frondell: 3.3% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Tuesday's action between the Blackhawks and Penguins at United Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Penguins, with a 59.7% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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