Penguins vs. Blackhawks prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/13/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 59.7% win probability for the Penguins at United Center.

The Chicago Blackhawks and Pittsburgh Penguins are scheduled to meet in the NHL at United Center on Tuesday, with puck drop at 8:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Penguins as the most likely winner in this Penguins vs. Blackhawks prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Penguins vs. Hawks prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Penguins a 59.7% chance of beating the Blackhawks. According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 63.0% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 53.6% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Puck Line: Penguins -1.5 (+160) / Blackhawks +1.5 (-175)
- Moneyline: Penguins -152, Blackhawks +137
- Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-112/-105)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Puck line: Blackhawks +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM
- Moneyline: Penguins @ -152 via BetRivers
- Total: Under 6.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Penguins vs. Blackhawks player props
Who will score a goal in Penguins vs. Blackhawks?
According to our model, Roman Kantserov is most likely to score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Blackhawks.
Our projections give Kantserov a 33.9% chance of scoring a goal at United Center, while the star is a 5.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
- Bryan Rust: 33.6% probability
- Sidney Crosby: 33.1% probability
- Rickard Rakell: 31.6% probability
- Evgeni Malkin: 27.7% probability
- Egor Chinakhov: 26.7% probability
Chicago Blackhawks
- Roman Kantserov: 33.9% probability
- Connor Bedard: 31.7% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 31.2% probability
- Patrick Kane: 25.4% probability
- Anton Frondell: 17.4% probability
First goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
- Bryan Rust: 6.8% probability
- Rickard Rakell: 5.9% probability
- Sidney Crosby: 5.4% probability
- Evgeni Malkin: 5.0% probability
- Egor Chinakhov: 4.9% probability
Chicago Blackhawks
- Roman Kantserov: 5.8% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 5.6% probability
- Connor Bedard: 5.5% probability
- Patrick Kane: 4.9% probability
- Anton Frondell: 3.3% probability
Game info & puck drop details
Tuesday's action between the Blackhawks and Penguins at United Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Chicago Blackhawks
- Date: Tuesday, October 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: United Center
Conclusion
We predict the Penguins, with a 59.7% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks in Tuesday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



