Avalanche vs. Flyers prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [10/19/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Monday's NHL matchup between the Avalanche and Flyers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 64.0% chance of defeating the Flyers. According to our model, the 6-goal over/under has a 53.3% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Avalanche -223, Flyers +217
• Total: Over/Under 6 (-115/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Flyers @ 32¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 6 @ -105 via BetMGM

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flyers to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Avalanche vs. Flyers player props

Who will score a goal in Avalanche vs. Flyers?

According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Flyers.

Our projections give MacKinnon a 42.2% chance of scoring a goal at Xfinity Mobile Arena, while the star is a 9.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 42.2% probability
• Martin Necas: 33.6% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 29.3% probability
• Brock Nelson: 28.8% probability
• Cale Makar: 23.8% probability

Philadelphia Flyers

• Tyson Foerster: 25.4% probability
• Trevor Zegras: 23.9% probability
• Porter Martone: 23.8% probability
• Matvei Michkov: 21.9% probability
• Oliver Bonk: 20.6% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 9.2% probability
• Martin Necas: 7.7% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 5.4% probability
• Brock Nelson: 5.1% probability
• Cale Makar: 4.3% probability

Philadelphia Flyers

• Tyson Foerster: 5.0% probability
• Trevor Zegras: 4.9% probability
• Matvei Michkov: 4.6% probability
• Porter Martone: 4.4% probability
• Oliver Bonk: 3.6% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Monday's matchup between the Flyers and Avalanche at Xfinity Mobile Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Philadelphia Flyers
• Date: Monday, October 19, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 64.0% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers in Monday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.