NHL player props today: Monday's best props include William Karlsson [10/12/2026]

William Karlsson over 1.5 shots on goal (-170)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 70.0%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Golden Knights' William Karlsson going over 1.5 shots on goal. A probability of 70.0% gives this play an edge of 7.0% at -170 odds.

Tomas Hertl over 1.5 shots on goal (-170)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Tomas Hertl’s shots on goal prop shows a 66.6% probability and an 3.7% edge at -170 odds, according to our model.

Trevor Connelly over 2.5 shots on goal (+115)

• Edge: 20.1%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Trevor Connelly over 2.5 shots on goal, with simulations showing a 66.6% probability and a 20.1% edge at +115.

Jack Eichel over 2.5 shots on goal (-160)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 66.5%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Jack Eichel over 2.5 shots on goal, with a 66.5% probability and an edge of 5.0% at -160 odds.

Quinn Hughes to score a point (-185)

• Edge: 1.0%
• Probability: 66.0%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Quinn Hughes to score a point for Wild, showing an edge of 1.0% at -185 odds.

Quinn Hughes to record an assist (-140)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 60.5%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Quinn Hughes’s assist prop shows an edge of 2.2% at -140 odds, supported by a 60.5% probability according to our model.

Shea Theodore over 1.5 shots on goal (-115)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Shea Theodore over 1.5 shots on goal for Golden Knights, with a 56.8% probability and a 3.3% edge at -115 odds.

Joel Eriksson Ek over 2.5 shots on goal (-105)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Joel Eriksson Ek over 2.5 shots on goal, supported by a 55.1% probability at -105 odds and an edge of 3.9%.

Trevor Connelly to score a point (+120)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 50.5%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

A 5.0% edge on the point line makes Trevor Connelly a value play in Golden Knights vs. Wild, supported by a 50.5% probability at +120 odds.

Quinn Hughes to score a point (+120)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 49.0%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Quinn Hughes to score a point here, with a 49.0% probability and 3.6% edge at +120 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Monday, October 12, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:56PM ET:

Conclusion

For October 12, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as William Karlsson, Tomas Hertl and Trevor Connelly. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.