Ducks vs. Flames prediction: Why Anaheim is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [10/10/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Dimers' simulation model projects a 52.3% win probability for the Ducks at Scotiabank Saddledome.

The Anaheim Ducks take on the Calgary Flames in NHL action.
Anaheim Ducks vs. Calgary Flames NHL prediction for Saturday, October 10, 2026.

The Calgary Flames and Anaheim Ducks will meet in the NHL at Scotiabank Saddledome on Saturday, with puck drop at 10:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Ducks a slight edge with a 52.3% win probability over the Flames.

This article offers a complete Ducks vs. Flames prediction, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Ducks vs. Flames prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Ducks and Flames, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Ducks a 52.3% chance of defeating the Flames. According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 69.2% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 54.2% chance of staying under.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Puck Line: Ducks -1.5 (+205) / Flames +1.5 (-233)
  • Moneyline: Ducks -118, Flames +106
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-102/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Puck line: Flames +1.5 @ -233 via ESPN BET
  • Moneyline: Flames @ +106 via Caesars
  • Total: Under 6.5 @ -110 via FanDuel

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Ducks vs. Flames player props

Who will score a goal in Ducks vs. Flames?

According to our model, Tristan Luneau is most likely to score an anytime goal in Ducks vs. Flames.

Our projections give Luneau a 41.5% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the star is an 8.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Anaheim Ducks

  • Tristan Luneau: 41.5% probability
  • Cutter Gauthier: 40.3% probability
  • Leo Carlsson: 30.2% probability
  • Beckett Sennecke: 28.5% probability
  • Mikael Granlund: 23.7% probability

Calgary Flames

  • Matthew Coronato: 27.8% probability
  • Morgan Frost: 27.7% probability
  • Joel Farabee: 25.3% probability
  • Yegor Sharangovich: 24.7% probability
  • Maxim Tsyplakov: 23.7% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Anaheim Ducks

  • Cutter Gauthier: 8.9% probability
  • Tristan Luneau: 8.8% probability
  • Beckett Sennecke: 5.7% probability
  • Leo Carlsson: 5.3% probability
  • Mikael Granlund: 4.5% probability

Calgary Flames

  • Matthew Coronato: 5.1% probability
  • Morgan Frost: 5.0% probability
  • Yegor Sharangovich: 4.6% probability
  • Joel Farabee: 4.3% probability
  • Maxim Tsyplakov: 4.1% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Saturday's action between the Flames and Ducks at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Ducks, with a 52.3% win probability, will likely beat the Flames in Saturday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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