Red Wings vs. Canadiens prediction: Why Montreal is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [10/10/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Red Wings and Canadiens, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Canadiens a 61.3% chance of beating the Red Wings. According to our model, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 60.8% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 56.1% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Red Wings +1.5 (-145) / Canadiens -1.5 (+124)
• Moneyline: Red Wings +175, Canadiens -198
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Red Wings +1.5 @ -145 via ESPN BET
• Moneyline: Red Wings @ +175 via BetRivers
• Total: Under 6.5 @ -120 via Fanatics

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Red Wings to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Red Wings vs. Canadiens player props

Who will score a goal in Red Wings vs. Canadiens?

According to our model, Cole Caufield is most likely to score an anytime goal in Red Wings vs. Canadiens.

Our projections give Caufield a 45.9% chance of scoring a goal at Bell Centre, while the star is a 10.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Detroit Red Wings

• Alex DeBrincat: 40.0% probability
• Dylan Larkin: 34.6% probability
• Viktor Arvidsson: 34.3% probability
• Lucas Raymond: 26.9% probability
• Emmitt Finnie: 14.7% probability

Montreal Canadiens

• Cole Caufield: 45.9% probability
• Nick Suzuki: 30.7% probability
• Juraj Slafkovsky: 27.5% probability
• Chris Kreider: 24.3% probability
• Alex Newhook: 21.5% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Detroit Red Wings

• Alex DeBrincat: 8.9% probability
• Viktor Arvidsson: 7.2% probability
• Dylan Larkin: 6.6% probability
• Lucas Raymond: 4.9% probability
• Emmitt Finnie: 3.0% probability

Montreal Canadiens

• Cole Caufield: 10.8% probability
• Nick Suzuki: 6.3% probability
• Juraj Slafkovsky: 5.3% probability
• Chris Kreider: 4.9% probability
• Alex Newhook: 3.9% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Saturday's matchup between the Canadiens and Red Wings at Bell Centre is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Detroit Red Wings vs. Montreal Canadiens
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Bell Centre

Conclusion

We predict the Canadiens, with a 61.3% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings in Saturday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.