Rangers vs. Flames prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 11, 2026

The New York Rangers are favored to beat the Calgary Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome on Wednesday (7:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Rangers vs. Flames prediction gives New York a 55.5% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 5.5 goals.

Rangers vs. Flames key predictions

• Rangers win probability: 55.5%
• Flames win probability: 44.5%
• Flames +1.5 puck line: 66.6% cover probability
• Over 5.5 goals: 52.4% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Rangers vs. Flames odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track. Novig has the best price in every market for this game.

• Rangers moneyline: 57¢ (Novig)
• Flames moneyline: 44¢ (Novig)
• Rangers -1.5: 35¢ (Novig)
• Flames +1.5: 66¢ (Novig)
• Over 5.5 goals: 54¢ (Novig)
• Under 5.5 goals: 46¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Rangers vs. Flames pick: Under 5.5 (46¢)

Our model makes the Rangers the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 5.5 total goals at 46¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 46.5%, while our model puts it at 47.6%.

That's a 1.1% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Rangers vs. Flames goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Pavel Dorofeyev of the Rangers leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Wednesday's game at 31.3%, ahead of teammate Alexis Lafreniere (30.6%). Calgary's most likely goal-scorer, Joel Farabee, follows at 28.6%. Lafreniere leads the first goal-scorer projections at 6.3%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Pavel Dorofeyev (Rangers): 31.3%
2. Alexis Lafreniere (Rangers): 30.6%
3. Mika Zibanejad (Rangers): 29.0%
4. Joel Farabee (Flames): 28.6%
5. Gabe Perreault (Rangers): 25.5%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Alexis Lafreniere (Rangers): 6.3%
2. Pavel Dorofeyev (Rangers): 6.2%
3. Joel Farabee (Flames): 5.6%
4. Mika Zibanejad (Rangers): 5.3%
5. Gabe Perreault (Rangers): 5.1%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Rangers vs. Flames prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Rangers vs. Flames predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Rangers vs. Flames game details

• Matchup: NY Rangers vs. Calgary Flames
• Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
• Puck drop: 7:30 PM ET
• Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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