Flyers vs. Oilers prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 11, 2026

The Edmonton Oilers are favored to beat the Philadelphia Flyers at Rogers Place on Wednesday (9:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Flyers vs. Oilers prediction gives Edmonton a 61.6% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Flyers as the underdog.

Flyers vs. Oilers key predictions

• Oilers win probability: 61.6%
• Flyers win probability: 38.4%
• Flyers +1.5 puck line: 60.7% cover probability
• Under 6 goals: 50.5% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Flyers vs. Oilers odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track.

• Flyers moneyline: 37¢ (Novig)
• Oilers moneyline: 64¢ (Novig)
• Flyers +1.5: 61¢ (Novig)
• Oilers -1.5: 40¢ (Novig)
• Over 6 goals: -120 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 6 goals: -102 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Flyers vs. Oilers pick: Flyers ML (37¢)

Our model makes the Oilers the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Flyers moneyline at 37¢ on Novig.

Those odds give Flyers an implied win probability of 37.0%, while our model puts it at 38.4%.

That's a 1.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Flyers vs. Oilers goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Leon Draisaitl of the Oilers leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Wednesday's game at 47.0%, ahead of teammate Connor McDavid (40.7%). Philadelphia's most likely goal-scorer, Matvei Michkov, is further back at 26.0%. Draisaitl also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 10.3%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Leon Draisaitl (Oilers): 47.0%
2. Connor McDavid (Oilers): 40.7%
3. Zach Hyman (Oilers): 35.6%
4. Matvei Michkov (Flyers): 26.0%
5. Evan Bouchard (Oilers): 24.5%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Leon Draisaitl (Oilers): 10.3%
2. Connor McDavid (Oilers): 7.8%
3. Zach Hyman (Oilers): 7.2%
4. Evan Bouchard (Oilers): 4.9%
5. Matvei Michkov (Flyers): 4.9%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Flyers vs. Oilers prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Flyers vs. Oilers predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Flyers vs. Oilers game details

• Matchup: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Edmonton Oilers
• Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
• Puck drop: 9:00 PM ET
• Venue: Rogers Place

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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