Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 20, 2026

The Columbus Blue Jackets are favored to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs on Tuesday, according to Dimers' NHL pregame model.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets prediction gives Columbus a 57.8% chance of winning at Nationwide Arena, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value lies in under 6.5 goals.

Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets: Key predictions

• Blue Jackets win probability: 57.8%
• Maple Leafs win probability: 42.2%
• Maple Leafs +1.5 puck line: 64.2% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 53.3% probability

Dimers' NHL pregame model estimates how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent form, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

These projections power our NHL predictions, which show the probability of each team winning, covering the puck line, and the total goals going over or under the betting line.

Predictions last updated: October 20, 2026, at 6:33 PM ET.

Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets odds

These are the best available odds for Tuesday's matchup across sportsbooks and prediction markets monitored by Dimers.

• Maple Leafs moneyline: 40¢ (Novig)
• Blue Jackets moneyline: 61¢ (Novig)
• Maple Leafs +1.5: 63¢ (Novig)
• Blue Jackets -1.5: 38¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 51¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 50¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Under 6.5 (50¢)

The Blue Jackets may be more likely to win, but Dimers' top value bet is under 6.5 total goals at 50¢, available at Novig.

Those odds imply a 50.0% chance of the game finishing under 6.5 goals, while our model puts that probability at 53.3%.

That's a 3.3% edge on the under, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets goal-scorer predictions

Unlike our NHL pregame model, Dimers' NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, the opposing team, and projected team goals.

Auston Matthews of the Maple Leafs leads Tuesday's anytime goal-scorer projections at 38.7%, ahead of teammate William Nylander (37.4%). Columbus's most likely goal-scorer, Adam Fantilli, is further back at 32.0%. William Nylander leads the first goal-scorer projections at 7.4%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

• Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs): 38.7%
• William Nylander (Maple Leafs): 37.4%
• Adam Fantilli (Blue Jackets): 32.0%
• Matthew Knies (Blue Jackets): 29.8%
• Kirill Marchenko (Maple Leafs): 28.1%

First goal-scorer predictions

• William Nylander (Maple Leafs): 7.4%
• Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs): 7.2%
• Adam Fantilli (Blue Jackets): 6.1%
• Matthew Knies (Blue Jackets): 5.5%
• Kirill Marchenko (Maple Leafs): 5.3%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Tuesday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Recommended bets for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets.

See our full range of Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets predictions with Dimers Pro.

Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets game details

• Matchup: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Columbus Blue Jackets
• Date: Tuesday, October 20, 2026
• Puck drop: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Nationwide Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NHL models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

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