Golden Knights vs. Penguins prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 3, 2026

The Vegas Golden Knights are favored to beat the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Golden Knights vs. Penguins prediction gives Vegas a 50.3% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value is on the under 6.5 goals.

Golden Knights vs. Penguins key predictions

• Golden Knights win probability: 50.3%
• Penguins win probability: 49.7%
• Golden Knights +1.5 puck line: 70.4% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 51.0% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Golden Knights vs. Penguins odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track.

• Golden Knights moneyline: 49¢ (Novig)
• Penguins moneyline: 51¢ (Novig)
• Golden Knights +1.5: -250 (bet365)
• Penguins -1.5: +210 (BetRivers)
• Over 6.5 goals: 52¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 48¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Golden Knights vs. Penguins pick: Under 6.5 (48¢)

Our model makes the Golden Knights the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 6.5 total goals at 48¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 48.5%, while our model puts it at 51.0%.

That's a 2.5% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Golden Knights vs. Penguins goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Mark Stone of the Golden Knights leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Tuesday's game at 35.9%, ahead of teammate Trevor Connelly (33.8%). Pittsburgh's most likely goal-scorer, Sidney Crosby, follows at 33.1%. Crosby leads the first goal-scorer projections at 7.0%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Mark Stone (Golden Knights): 35.9%
2. Trevor Connelly (Golden Knights): 33.8%
3. Sidney Crosby (Penguins): 33.1%
4. Rickard Rakell (Penguins): 30.8%
5. Jack Eichel (Golden Knights): 28.6%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Sidney Crosby (Penguins): 7.0%
2. Trevor Connelly (Golden Knights): 6.8%
3. Mark Stone (Golden Knights): 6.4%
4. Rickard Rakell (Penguins): 5.5%
5. Jack Eichel (Golden Knights): 5.5%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Golden Knights vs. Penguins prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Golden Knights vs. Penguins predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Golden Knights vs. Penguins game details

• Matchup: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
• Puck drop: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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