Blackhawks vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Blackhawks vs. Islanders in the NHL on Thursday, October 8, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Blackhawks
1
4
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
TEAM123T
Blackhawks
0 0 1 1
Islanders
1 2 1 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Blackhawks
    0%
  • Islanders
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Blackhawks
0 0 1 1
Islanders
1 2 1 4
P3 19:44 Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Arvid Soderblom
P3 18:22 Patrick Kane shot blocked by Logan Stanley
P3 17:58 Frank Nazar shot blocked by Logan Stanley
P3 16:32 Anton Frondell shot blocked by Logan Stanley
P3 15:03 Shot on goal by Artyom Levshunov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 14:02 Matias Maccelli shot blocked by Sam Rinzel
P3 13:38 Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P3 13:12 Bowen Byram shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 12:23 Jean-Gabriel Pageau shot blocked by Nick Lardis
P3 11:44 Oliver Moore shot blocked by teammate
P3 11:29 Bo Horvat shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P3 09:58 Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Arvid Soderblom
P3 09:11 Calum Ritchie shot blocked by teammate
P3 05:50 Jordan Greenway shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 05:02 Shot missed by Calum Ritchie
P3 04:23 Shot on goal by Sam Rinzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:12 Shot on goal by Anton Frondell saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 03:25 Dominic Toninato shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P2 19:16 Ryan Donato shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P2 16:05 Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:46
    Ryan Greene won faceoff against Emil Heineman in neutral zone
  3. P3 19:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Arvid Soderblom
  4. P3 18:27
    Ryan Greene won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:25
    Frank Nazar credited with hit on Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  6. P3 18:22
    SHOT
    Patrick Kane shot blocked by Logan Stanley
  7. P3 17:58
    SHOT
    Frank Nazar shot blocked by Logan Stanley
  8. P3 17:46
    Roman Kantserov won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  9. P3 17:46
    Blackhawks won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  10. P3 17:46
    Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
  11. P3 17:28
    Blackhawks won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  12. P3 16:32
    SHOT
    Anton Frondell shot blocked by Logan Stanley
  13. P3 16:28
    Frank Nazar won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  14. P3 15:22
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan Greene in offensive zone
  15. P3 15:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artyom Levshunov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  16. P3 14:37
    Giveaway by Kyle Palmieri in offensive zone
  17. P3 14:02
    SHOT
    Matias Maccelli shot blocked by Sam Rinzel
  18. P3 13:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bowen Byram
  19. P3 13:12
    SHOT
    Bowen Byram shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  20. P3 12:37
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Anton Frondell in defensive zone
  21. P3 12:37
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  22. P3 12:23
    SHOT
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau shot blocked by Nick Lardis
  23. P3 11:44
    SHOT
    Oliver Moore shot blocked by teammate
  24. P3 11:29
    SHOT
    Bo Horvat shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  25. P3 10:10
    Giveaway by Jordan Greenway in defensive zone
  26. P3 09:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Arvid Soderblom
  27. P3 09:11
    SHOT
    Calum Ritchie shot blocked by teammate
  28. P3 08:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  29. P3 07:55
    Giveaway by Patrick Kane in offensive zone
  30. P3 07:22
    Frank Nazar won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  31. P3 05:50
    SHOT
    Jordan Greenway shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
  32. P3 05:49
    Blackhawks won faceoff against Islanders in offensive zone
  33. P3 05:45
    Giveaway by Matias Maccelli in defensive zone
  34. P3 05:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Calum Ritchie
  35. P3 04:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Rinzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
  36. P3 04:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anton Frondell saved by Ilya Sorokin
  37. P3 03:47
    Bo Horvat credited with hit on Roman Kantserov in defensive zone
  38. P3 03:25
    SHOT
    Dominic Toninato shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  39. P3 02:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  40. P3 01:45
    Giveaway by Sam Rinzel in defensive zone
  41. P3 00:39
    Giveaway by Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  42. P3 00:16
    Anton Frondell won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  43. P3 00:08
    Stoppage - Icing
  44. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  45. P2 19:33
    Giveaway by Logan Stanley in neutral zone
  46. P2 19:16
    SHOT
    Ryan Donato shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
  47. P2 18:42
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan Greene in offensive zone
  48. P2 17:22
    Dominic Toninato won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
  49. P2 16:55
    Takeaway by Sam Rinzel in defensive zone
  50. P2 16:30
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anton Frondell in defensive zone
  51. P2 16:26
    Anton Frondell won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  52. P2 16:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  53. P2 16:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
  54. P2 16:02
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Anton Frondell in offensive zone
  55. P2 15:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Arvid Soderblom
  56. P2 14:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Victor Eklund
  57. P2 14:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Greene saved by Ilya Sorokin
  58. P2 14:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Ilya Sorokin
  59. P2 13:03
    Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Roman Kantserov in defensive zone
  60. P2 13:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  61. P2 12:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Ilya Sorokin
  62. P2 12:18
    Penalty to Scott Mayfield 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Alex Vlasic)
  63. P2 12:16
    Delayed penalty (against the Islanders)
  64. P2 11:46
    Blackhawks won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  65. P2 11:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  66. P2 10:44
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Frank Nazar in neutral zone
  67. P2 10:44
    Stoppage - Offside
  68. P2 09:38
    Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
  69. P2 09:38
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Anthony Duclair assisted by Logan Stanley and Jean-Gabriel Pageau
    0-1
  70. P2 08:48
    SHOT
    Jordan Greenway shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  71. P2 08:07
    Giveaway by Logan Stanley in neutral zone
  72. P2 07:57
    Nick Lardis credited with hit on Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
  73. P2 07:27
    Giveaway by Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
  74. P2 07:07
    Giveaway by Oliver Moore in offensive zone
  75. P2 06:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Arvid Soderblom
  76. P2 04:34
    Ryan Greene won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  77. P2 04:20
    Ryan Greene won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
  78. P2 04:20
    Stoppage - Offside
  79. P2 03:55
    Anton Frondell won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
  80. P2 03:55
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  81. P2 03:26
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  82. P2 03:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Arvid Soderblom
  83. P2 02:31
    Blackhawks won faceoff against Islanders in offensive zone
  84. P2 02:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  85. P2 02:24
    Bowen Byram won faceoff against Islanders in offensive zone
  86. P2 02:19
    SHOT
    Bowen Byram shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
  87. P2 02:14
    Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
  88. P2 01:11
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan Greene in defensive zone
  89. P2 01:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  90. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  91. P1 19:03
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Bo Horvat assisted by Matthew Schaefer
    0-1
  92. P1 19:01
    Frank Nazar won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  93. P1 19:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Arvid Soderblom
  94. P1 18:58
    Ryan Greene won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  95. P1 18:53
    Delayed penalty (against the Blackhawks)
  96. P1 18:50
    Takeaway by Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  97. P1 16:18
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Arvid Soderblom
  98. P1 16:07
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Oliver Moore in defensive zone
  99. P1 15:15
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  100. P1 15:04
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Roman Kantserov in defensive zone
  101. P1 15:04
    Blackhawks won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  102. P1 15:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Arvid Soderblom
  103. P1 13:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ian Cole saved by Ilya Sorokin
  104. P1 12:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Lardis
  105. P1 12:11
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Patrick Kane
  106. P1 11:13
    Giveaway by Ian Cole in defensive zone
  107. P1 10:06
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Cole Smith in defensive zone
  108. P1 10:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Smith saved by Ilya Sorokin
  109. P1 09:30
    SHOT
    Oliver Moore shot blocked by teammate
  110. P1 08:54
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Oliver Moore in defensive zone
  111. P1 08:54
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  112. P1 08:43
    Stoppage - Offside
  113. P1 07:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Anton Frondell
  114. P1 07:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Roman Kantserov shot blocked by teammate
  115. P1 07:26
    Blackhawks won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  116. P1 06:38
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Ilya Sorokin
  117. P1 05:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Arvid Soderblom
  118. P1 05:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Arvid Soderblom
  119. P1 05:23
    Power play - Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Ryan Greene in offensive zone
  120. P1 05:19
    Delayed penalty (against the Blackhawks)
  121. P1 05:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ian Cole
  122. P1 04:16
    Anton Frondell won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  123. P1 03:34
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anton Frondell in defensive zone
  124. P1 03:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  125. P1 03:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  126. P1 02:47
    Victor Eklund credited with hit on Ryan Donato in defensive zone
  127. P1 01:51
    Giveaway by Simon Holmstrom in neutral zone
  128. P1 01:03
    Emil Heineman credited with hit on Wyatt Kaiser in offensive zone
  129. P1 00:33
    Takeaway by Ondrej Palat in defensive zone
  130. P1 00:08
    Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Ian Cole in offensive zone
Stats
Blackhawks
STATS
Islanders
23Shots on Goal19
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
26Penalty Infraction Mins18
15Hits25
10 Shots Blocked 17
19Giveaways19
BlackhawksCHI
IslandersNYI
23Shots on Goal19
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
26Penalty Infraction Mins18
15Hits25
10 Shots Blocked 17
19Giveaways19

Blackhawks vs. Islanders prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Chicago Blackhawks vs. NY Islanders Islanders
  • Date: Thursday, October 8, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:30PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Blackhawks (+1.5, -150), Islanders (-1.5, +145)
  • Moneyline: Blackhawks +165, Islanders -182
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals (-125/+114)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Blackhawks: 38.4%
  • Islanders: 61.6%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Blackhawks vs. Islanders player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Roman Kantserov, Blackhawks: 31.5%
  • Tyler Bertuzzi, Blackhawks: 29.3%
  • Bo Horvat, Islanders: 38.1%
  • Simon Holmstrom, Islanders: 25.8%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Blackhawks a win probability of 38.4%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 61.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Islanders are more likely to beat the Blackhawks in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

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