St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Dolphins prediction: Dolphins favored to win Friday's NRL Round 22 matchup [7/31/2026]
Get St George Illawarra Dragons vs Dolphins predictions for NRL Friday.
The St George Illawarra Dragons and Dolphins will lock horns in the National Rugby League (NRL) at WIN Stadium on Friday, starting at 4:00 AM ET.
Dimers' advanced NRL model projects the Dolphins as the most likely winner in this Dolphins vs. Dragons prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dragons vs. Dolphins prediction: Who will win Round 22 game?
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Dolphins an 81.5% chance of defeating the Dragons.
According to our model, the Dolphins (-12.5) have a 51.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under has a 55.9% chance of staying under,.
Dolphins vs. St George odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dolphins | Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -435 | +300 |
| Line (Spread) | -12.5 (-115) | +12.5 (-115) |
| Total | o49.5 (-114) | u49.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dolphins vs. Dragons picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dolphins -12.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | -435 |
| Total | Under 49.5 | -112 |
According to our best NRL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 49.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dragons vs. Dolphins game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rugby league matchup between the Dragons and Dolphins at WIN Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:00 AM ET.
- Who: Dolphins vs. St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
- Time: 4:00 AM ET/1:00AM PT
- Venue: WIN Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Dolphins, with an 81.5% win probability, will likely beat the Dragons in Friday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
