South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Melbourne Storm prediction: Storm favored to win Friday's NRL Round 21 matchup [7/24/2026]
Get South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm predictions for NRL Friday.
The South Sydney Rabbitohs will face the Melbourne Storm in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Stadium Australia on Friday, commencing at 6:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NRL model projects the Storm as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Rabbitohs game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Rabbitohs vs. Storm prediction: Who will win Round 21 game?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Storm a 54.2% chance of beating the Rabbitohs.
According to our model, the Storm (-0.5) have a 52.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has a 51.1% chance of going over,.
Storm vs. Souths odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Storm | Rabbitohs |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -114 | -112 |
| Line (Spread) | -0.5 (-115) | +0.5 (-115) |
| Total | o46.5 (-106) | u46.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Storm vs. Rabbitohs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm -0.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Storm | -114 |
| Total | Over 46.5 | -106 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rabbitohs vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rugby league matchup between the Rabbitohs and Storm at Stadium Australia is scheduled to start at 6:00 AM ET.
- Who: Melbourne Storm vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Date: Friday, July 24, 2026
- Time: 6:00 AM ET/3:00AM PT
- Venue: Stadium Australia
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Storm, with a 54.2% win probability, will likely beat the Rabbitohs in Friday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
