Dolphins vs. Sydney Roosters prediction favors Dolphins to win Friday's NRL Round 30 matchup [9/25/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's NRL matchup between the Roosters and Dolphins, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Dolphins a 63.0% chance of defeating the Roosters. According to our model, the Dolphins (-2.5) have a 55.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 44.5 points has a 53.3% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Roosters +123, Dolphins -154
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-115/-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Dolphins -2.5 @ -105 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Dolphins @ -154 via BetRivers
• Total: Over 44.5 @ -115 via DraftKings

According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dolphins -2.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Friday's Australian rugby league action between the Dolphins and Roosters at Kayo Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:50 AM ET.

• Who: Sydney Roosters vs. Dolphins
• Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
• Time: 5:50 AM ET/2:50AM PT
• Venue: Kayo Stadium

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Conclusion

We predict the Dolphins, with a 63.0% win probability, will likely beat the Roosters in Friday's NRL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NRL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.