St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Parramatta Eels prediction: Eels favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 27 matchup [9/6/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NRL matchup between the Eels and Dragons, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Eels a 65.0% chance of beating the Dragons.

According to our model, the Eels (-4.5) have a 50.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 56.5 points has a 59.4% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Eels -161, Dragons +128
• Total: Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Eels -4.5 @ -105 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Eels @ -161 via BetRivers
• Total: Under 56.5 @ -115 via BetRivers

According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 56.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Australian rugby league action between the Dragons and Eels at WIN Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:00 AM ET.

• Who: Parramatta Eels vs. St George Illawarra Dragons
• Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026
• Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
• Venue: WIN Stadium

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Conclusion

We predict the Eels, with a 65.0% win probability, will likely beat the Dragons in Sunday's NRL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.