Adrian Mannarino vs. Daniil Medvedev prediction, odds, picks for ATP Vienna Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's Mannarino-Medvedev men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Medvedev a 78% chance of defeating Mannarino at the ATP Vienna Open tournament. Additionally, Medvedev has a 72% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mannarino (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Daniil Medvedev -500, Adrian Mannarino +410
• First Set: Mannarino +250, Medvedev -333

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Mannarino @ +410 via DraftKings
• First Set: Medvedev @ -118 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Adrian Mannarino to win.

Although Mannarino is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Vienna Open match between Adrian Mannarino and Daniil Medvedev is scheduled to begin on Friday at 8:30 AM ET.

• Who: Adrian Mannarino vs. Daniil Medvedev
• Date: Friday, October 30, 2026
• Approx. Time: 8:30 AM ET/5:30 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Vienna, Austria Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Daniil Medvedev, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Adrian Mannarino at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.

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This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.