Jul 23, 2026
Tennis bets today: Six picks for Thursday ft. Oliynykova vs. Gormaz [7/23/2026]
Read Article Alex de Minaur vs. Gabriel Diallo prediction, odds, picks for ATP Cinch Championships 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get de Minaur vs Diallo predictions for ATP Cinch Championships.
Alex de Minaur will take on Gabriel Diallo in the round of 32 at the ATP London event on Tuesday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the de Minaur vs. Diallo match.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
de Minaur vs. Diallo prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's de Minaur-Diallo men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives de Minaur an 81% chance of defeating Diallo at the ATP Cinch Championships tournament.
Additionally, de Minaur has a 76% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show de Minaur (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 61% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Alex de Minaur vs. Gabriel Diallo odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | de Minaur | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -500 | +409 |
| First Set | -333 | +250 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (+115) | +4.5 (-180) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (+100) | u22.5 (-134) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
de Minaur vs. Diallo picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Diallo | +409 |
| First Set | Diallo | -134 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
de Minaur vs. Diallo updates and essential details
The ATP Cinch Championships match between Alex de Minaur and Gabriel Diallo is scheduled to commence on Tuesday at 10:25 AM ET.
- Who: Alex de Minaur vs. Gabriel Diallo
- Date: Tuesday, June 16, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:25 AM ET/7:25AM PT
- Tournament: ATP London, Great Britain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Alex de Minaur, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat Gabriel Diallo at the ATP Cinch Championships tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
Advertiser disclosure
