Arthur Fery vs. Lorenzo Musetti prediction, odds, picks for ATP Vienna Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's Fery-Musetti men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Musetti a 65% chance of beating Fery at the ATP Vienna Open tournament. Additionally, Musetti has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Fery (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Lorenzo Musetti -250, Arthur Fery +240
• First Set: Fery +175, Musetti -227

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Fery @ +240 via DraftKings
• First Set: Musetti @ -105 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Arthur Fery to win.

Although Fery is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Vienna Open match between Arthur Fery and Lorenzo Musetti is scheduled to start on Thursday at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Arthur Fery vs. Lorenzo Musetti
• Date: Thursday, October 29, 2026
• Approx. Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Vienna, Austria Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Lorenzo Musetti, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Arthur Fery at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.