Learner Tien vs. Alex de Minaur prediction, odds, picks for ATP Vienna Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's Tien-de Minaur men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives de Minaur a 53% chance of beating Tien at the ATP Vienna Open tournament. Additionally, de Minaur has a 52% chance of winning the first set, while the under 23.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alex de Minaur -114, Learner Tien +103
• First Set: Tien +100, de Minaur -125

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: de Minaur @ -114 via DraftKings
• First Set: de Minaur @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Alex de Minaur to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Vienna Open match between Learner Tien and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 6:30 AM ET.

• Who: Learner Tien vs. Alex de Minaur
• Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
• Approx. Time: 6:30 AM ET/3:30 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Vienna, Austria Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat Learner Tien at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.