Arthur Gea vs. Jakub Mensik prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Tuesday's Gea-Mensik men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Mensik a 55% chance of beating Gea at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament. Additionally, Mensik has a 54% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the oddsmakers have got it right with the -1.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 24.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Jakub Mensik -157, Arthur Gea +142
• First Set: Gea +120, Mensik -152

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Gea @ +142 via DraftKings
• First Set: Mensik @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Arthur Gea to win.

Although Gea is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Arthur Gea and Jakub Mensik is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 1:10 AM ET.

• Who: Arthur Gea vs. Jakub Mensik
• Date: Tuesday, October 13, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:10 AM ET/10:10PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Jakub Mensik, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Arthur Gea at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.