Cameron Norrie vs. Matteo Arnaldi prediction, odds, picks for ATP Paris Masters 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's Norrie-Arnaldi men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Norrie a 61% chance of defeating Arnaldi at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Matteo Arnaldi +133, Cameron Norrie -163

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Norrie @ -163 via DraftKings
• First Set: Arnaldi @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Cameron Norrie to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Paris Masters match between Cameron Norrie and Matteo Arnaldi is scheduled to start on Sunday at 5:00 AM ET.

• Who: Cameron Norrie vs. Matteo Arnaldi
• Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
• Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Paris, France Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Cameron Norrie, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat Matteo Arnaldi at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.