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Read Article Hubert Hurkacz vs. Tommy Paul prediction, odds, picks for Wimbledon 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Hurkacz vs Paul predictions for Wimbledon 2026.
Hubert Hurkacz will take on Tommy Paul in the third round of Wimbledon Men's Singles 2026 on Friday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Tommy Paul as the most likely winner of the Hurkacz vs. Paul match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Hurkacz vs. Paul prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Hurkacz-Paul men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Paul a 61% chance of winning against Hurkacz at Wimbledon 2026.
Hubert Hurkacz vs. Tommy Paul odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hurkacz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +146 | -174 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-112) | -2.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o41.5 (-110) | u41.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hurkacz vs. Paul picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Paul | -174 |
| First Set | Paul | -118 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Tommy Paul to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hurkacz vs. Paul updates and essential details
The Wimbledon 2026 match between Hubert Hurkacz and Tommy Paul is scheduled to begin on Friday at 9:55 AM ET.
- Who: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Tommy Paul
- Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:55 AM ET/6:55AM PT
- Tournament: Wimbledon Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Third round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Tommy Paul, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat Hubert Hurkacz at Wimbledon 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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