Jaime Faria vs. Arthur Fery prediction, odds, picks for ATP Japan Open 2026

Jaime Faria will square off with Arthur Fery in the round of 32 at the ATP Tokyo event on Wednesday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Arthur Fery as the most likely winner in this Faria vs. Fery prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Faria vs. Fery prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Faria-Fery men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Fery a 51% chance of beating Faria at the ATP Japan Open tournament. Additionally, both Faria and Fery have an equal 50-50 chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Faria (+0.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Arthur Fery +100, Jaime Faria -115
• First Set: Faria -125, Fery +100

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Fery @ +100 via DraftKings
• First Set: Fery @ -111 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Arthur Fery to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Japan Open match between Jaime Faria and Arthur Fery is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Jaime Faria vs. Arthur Fery
• Date: Wednesday, September 30, 2026
• Approx. Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Tokyo, Japan Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Arthur Fery, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Jaime Faria at the ATP Japan Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.