Rafael Jodar vs. Casper Ruud prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's Jodar-Ruud men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Jodar a 54% chance of beating Ruud at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Casper Ruud +120, Rafael Jodar -133

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Ruud @ +120 via DraftKings
• First Set: Ruud @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Casper Ruud to win.

Although Ruud is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Rafael Jodar and Casper Ruud is scheduled to commence on Friday at 12:00 AM ET.

• Who: Rafael Jodar vs. Casper Ruud
• Date: Friday, October 16, 2026
• Approx. Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Rafael Jodar, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Casper Ruud at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.