Learner Tien vs. Hubert Hurkacz prediction, odds, picks for ATP China Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's Tien-Hurkacz men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Tien a 57% chance of defeating Hurkacz at the ATP China Open tournament. Additionally, Tien has a 56% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Hurkacz (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Hubert Hurkacz +154, Learner Tien -188
• First Set: Tien -152, Hurkacz +120

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Hurkacz @ +154 via DraftKings
• First Set: Hurkacz @ -133 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Hubert Hurkacz to win.

Although Hurkacz is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP China Open match between Learner Tien and Hubert Hurkacz is scheduled to start on Thursday at 7:00 AM ET.

• Who: Learner Tien vs. Hubert Hurkacz
• Date: Thursday, October 1, 2026
• Approx. Time: 7:00 AM ET/4:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Beijing, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Learner Tien, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Hubert Hurkacz at the ATP China Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.