Mattia Bellucci vs. Lorenzo Sonego prediction, odds, picks for ATP Paris Masters 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Monday's Bellucci-Sonego men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Bellucci a 56% chance of beating Sonego at the ATP Paris Masters tournament. Additionally, Bellucci has a 56% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the oddsmakers have got it right with the -1.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 25.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Lorenzo Sonego +125, Mattia Bellucci -150
• First Set: Bellucci -139, Sonego +110

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Sonego @ +125 via DraftKings
• First Set: Sonego @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Lorenzo Sonego to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Paris Masters match between Mattia Bellucci and Lorenzo Sonego is scheduled to commence on Monday at 8:30 AM ET.

• Who: Mattia Bellucci vs. Lorenzo Sonego
• Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
• Approx. Time: 8:30 AM ET/5:30 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Paris, France Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Mattia Bellucci, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Lorenzo Sonego at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.