Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. James Duckworth prediction, odds, picks for ATP Almaty Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's Tsitsipas-Duckworth men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Tsitsipas a 78% chance of winning against Duckworth at the ATP Almaty Open tournament. Additionally, Tsitsipas has a 73% chance of winning the first set, while the under 23.5 games has a 61% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: James Duckworth +321, Stefanos Tsitsipas -400
• First Set: Tsitsipas -278, Duckworth +220

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Duckworth @ +321 via DraftKings
• First Set: Duckworth @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is James Duckworth to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Almaty Open match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and James Duckworth is scheduled to begin on Friday at 2:30 AM ET.

• Who: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. James Duckworth
• Date: Friday, October 23, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:30 AM ET/11:30 PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Stefanos Tsitsipas, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat James Duckworth at the ATP Almaty Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.