Tennis bets today: 10 picks for Thursday ft. Zakharova vs. Adkar [11/5/2026]

WTA Chennai Open: Vaishnavi Adkar vs. Anastasia Zakharova Over 18.5 total games (-110)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Matchup: Anastasia Zakharova vs. Vaishnavi Adkar (6:50AM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 18.5 total games in Vaishnavi Adkar vs. Anastasia Zakharova at -110 odds in their matchup at WTA Chennai Open. A 62.2% probability produces an edge of 9.9%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.

WTA Chennai Open: Vaishnavi Adkar +6.5 games (-125)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 64.4%
• Matchup: Anastasia Zakharova vs. Vaishnavi Adkar (6:50AM ET)

At WTA Chennai Open, Vaishnavi Adkar +6.5 games carries an 8.9% edge and a probability of 64.4% at -125 odds, according to our model.

ATP Paris Masters: Ben Shelton -2.5 (-145)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 64.6%
• Matchup: Ben Shelton vs. Arthur Rinderknech (6:10AM ET)

Ben Shelton -2.5 vs. Arthur Rinderknech at -145 odds shows a 5.4% edge, supported by a 64.6% probability in simulations of the ATP Paris Masters match.

ATP Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs. Ben Shelton under 25.5 total games (-135)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 61.7%
• Matchup: Ben Shelton vs. Arthur Rinderknech (6:10AM ET)

A 4.3% edge and 61.7% probability make Arthur Rinderknech vs. Ben Shelton under 25.5 total games a value play in the Ben Shelton vs. Arthur Rinderknech matchup, per our model.

WTA Chennai Open: Zhibek Kulambayeva +5.5 (-120)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Matchup: Mai Hontama vs. Zhibek Kulambayeva (4:30AM ET)

Zhibek Kulambayeva +5.5 at -120 presents a 4.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.8%.

WTA Chennai Open: Simona Waltert ML (+177)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 39%
• Matchup: Simona Waltert vs. Lucrezia Stefanini (5:40AM ET)

Our model finds value on Simona Waltert to win at +177 at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 3.9%.

ATP Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs. Lorenzo Musetti Under 22.5 total games (-120)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 58.5%
• Matchup: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Luca Van Assche (7:20AM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Lorenzo Musetti vs. Luca Van Assche Under 22.5 total games at -120. A 58.5% probability produces a 3.8% edge, making this a strong play for today's tennis action.

WTA Hong Kong Open: Mary Stoiana +5.5 (-140)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 62.1%
• Matchup: Sorana Cirstea vs. Mary Stoiana (6:40AM ET)

A 3.8% edge on a 62.1% probability makes Mary Stoiana +5.5 at -140a solid value play in this WTA Hong Kong Open matchup.

ATP Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata ML (+112)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 49.6%
• Matchup: Rinky Hijikata vs. Tomas Etcheverry (8:00AM ET)

Our model projects value on Rinky Hijikata to win at +112. A 49.6% probability produces a 3.3% edge, making Rinky Hijikata the favorable ML play in today's ATP Paris Masters matchup.

ATP Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs. Arthur Fils Under 25.5 total games (-130)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 59.6%
• Matchup: Arthur Fils vs. Taylor Fritz (2:30PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Arthur Fils vs. Taylor Fritz Under 25.5 total games at -130 shows a 59.6% probability and a 3.0% edge.

Tennis best bets summary: Thursday, 11/5/2026

As of 1:02AM ET, here are our top tennis bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming tennis matches to bet on now

• WTA Chennai: Magda Linette vs. Moyuka Uchijima (4:30AM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Chennai: Zhibek Kulambayeva vs. Mai Hontama (4:30AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Paris: Quentin Halys vs. Tommy Paul (5:00AM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Hong Kong: Alexandra Eala vs. Tereza Valentova (5:30AM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Chennai: Lucrezia Stefanini vs. Simona Waltert (5:40AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Paris: Arthur Rinderknech vs. Ben Shelton (6:10AM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Hong Kong: Mary Stoiana vs. Sorana Cirstea (6:40AM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Chennai: Vaishnavi Adkar vs. Anastasia Zakharova (6:50AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Paris: Luca Van Assche vs. Lorenzo Musetti (7:20AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Paris: Tomas Etcheverry vs. Rinky Hijikata (8:00AM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our tennis best bets are locked and loaded for November 5, 2026, featuring plays such as over 18.5 total games in the Anastasia Zakharova vs. Anastasia Zakharova matchup and Vaishnavi Adkar +6.5 games. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.