Tennis bets today: Three picks for Friday ft. Fritz vs. Alcaraz [11/6/2026]

ATP Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz -3.5 (+100)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Matchup: Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz (1:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Carlos Alcaraz -3.5 at +100 odds in their matchup at ATP Paris Masters. A 53.4% probability produces an edge of 3.4%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.

ATP Paris Masters: Nuno Borges ML (+205)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 35.6%
• Matchup: Casper Ruud vs. Nuno Borges (2:30PM ET)

At ATP Paris Masters, Nuno Borges ML carries a 2.8% edge and a probability of 35.6% at +205 odds, according to our model.

ATP Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz Under 23.5 total games (-135)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 59.6%
• Matchup: Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz (1:00PM ET)

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz Under 23.5 total games at -135 odds shows a 2.2% edge, supported by a 59.6% probability in simulations of the ATP Paris Masters match.

Tennis best bets summary: Friday, 11/6/2026

As of 12:32PM ET, here are our top tennis bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming tennis matches to bet on now

• ATP Paris: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz (1:00PM ET, Friday)
• ATP Paris: Nuno Borges vs. Casper Ruud (2:30PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our tennis best bets are locked and loaded for November 6, 2026, featuring plays such as Carlos Alcaraz -3.5 vs. Taylor Fritz and Nuno Borges ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.