Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Facundo Diaz Acosta prediction, odds, picks for ATP Almaty Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Monday's Tirante-Diaz Acosta men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Tirante a 76% chance of winning against Diaz Acosta at the ATP Almaty Open tournament. Additionally, Tirante has a 72% chance of winning the first set, while the under 22.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Facundo Diaz Acosta +300, Thiago Tirante -309
• First Set: Tirante -278, Diaz Acosta +220

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Tirante @ -309 via DraftKings
• First Set: Diaz Acosta @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Thiago Tirante to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Almaty Open match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Facundo Diaz Acosta is scheduled to commence on Monday at 2:00 AM ET.

• Who: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Facundo Diaz Acosta
• Date: Monday, October 19, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:00 AM ET/11:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Thiago Tirante, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Facundo Diaz Acosta at the ATP Almaty Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.