Valentin Vacherot vs. Luca Van Assche prediction, odds, picks for ATP Lyon Open 2026

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Written by Damien Souness

Get Vacherot vs Van Assche predictions for ATP Lyon Open.

Valentin Vacherot takes on Luca Van Assche in ATP Lyon action.
Our Valentin Vacherot and Luca Van Assche tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Valentin Vacherot and Luca Van Assche are scheduled to meet in the round of 16 of the ATP Lyon Open event on Thursday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Valentin Vacherot as the most likely winner in this Vacherot vs. Van Assche prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Vacherot vs. Van Assche prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's Vacherot-Van Assche men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Vacherot a 60% chance of beating Van Assche at the ATP Lyon Open tournament. Additionally, Vacherot has a 58% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Vacherot (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Luca Van Assche +130, Valentin Vacherot -138
  • First Set: Vacherot -152, Van Assche +120

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: Vacherot @ -138 via DraftKings
  • First Set: Van Assche @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Valentin Vacherot to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Lyon Open match between Valentin Vacherot and Luca Van Assche is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 8:00 AM ET.

  • Who: Valentin Vacherot vs. Luca Van Assche
  • Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00 AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Lyon, France Men's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Valentin Vacherot, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Luca Van Assche at the ATP Lyon Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Experience Officer

Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.

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